Minnesota State Mavericks vs St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
20/03/2026 at 20:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)

Chances of winning


Minnesota State Mavericks
40.3%
Draw
23.8%
St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 23.8% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 25.4% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota State Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota State Mavericks than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.26)
    3.8
    (3.82)
    2.52
    (2.51)
    10.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota State won 3.
    • Minnesota State is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • St. Thomas Minnesota's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, St. Thomas Minnesota has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Minnesota State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 3:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 2.6:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies 2:4
    31.10.2025 St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Minnesota State Mavericks 1:3
    21.03.2025 Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies 4:2
    09.11.2024 Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies 1:1
    08.11.2024 St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Minnesota State Mavericks 3:5
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2