Result
1:3
01/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 42
- Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 4, Movistar+ Lite |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/386) | 88% (491/558) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/386) | 88% (491/558) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 87% (34/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (44/79) | 81% (165/204) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', Egiluz U. 🟨,
- 35', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Izeta ⚽, Panichelli J. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Millan A. ⚽, Nacho (A),
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Roca J. ⚽,
- 45+3', Machin J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Panichelli J. ↓, Butzke A. ↑,
- 46', Egiluz U. ↓, Alonso J. ↑,
- 57', Reina A. ↓, Calvo A. ↑,
- 57', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
- 57', Roca J. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
- 61', Luna D. 🟨,
- 66', Luna D. ↓, Checo ↑,
- 66', Nacho ↓, Mini ↑,
- 70', 1 - 3, Calvo A. ⚽,
- 77', Ortuno A. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
- 84', Millan A. ↓, Munoz L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc2ceukx
Chances of winning
Cartagena
9.9% | Draw
17.4% | Mirandés
72.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirandés's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Cartagena - Mirandés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.66 ↑
(7.05) |
5.4 ↑
(4.47) |
1.29 ↓
(1.43) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cartagena - Mirandés?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Mirandés will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 74.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Mirandés (1.25) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Mirandés (1.20) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.75 - Cartagena (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Cartagena (3.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirandés will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Mirandés (votes: 14 - 82.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Cartagena is Relegated to
- Mirandés is Qualified for LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2.
- Cartagena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mirandés is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirandés is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Cartagena: Moreno J.
(Yellow Cards)
Munoz L.
(Knee Injury)
Olivas K.
(Injury)
Valles G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cartagena: Ndiaye Dione A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirandés: Lachuer M.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cartagena won against Mirandés?
Cartagena has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Cartagena?
Mirandés has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Mirandés were as follows:
26.10.2024
Mirandés
-
Cartagena
3:1
11.02.2024
Cartagena
-
Mirandés
1:0
29.10.2023
Mirandés
-
Cartagena
2:1
09.04.2023
Cartagena
-
Mirandés
1:0
21.11.2022
Mirandés
-
Cartagena
2:1
Latest results of Cartagena
Latest results of Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
