Result
0:0
26/03/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33
- Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina 40.3% | Draw 30.2% | Mirandés 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Ponferradina - Mirandés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.55) |
3.09 ↑ (2.92) |
3.15 ↑ (2.8) |
7% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Mirandés?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Mirandés will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponferradina: 28.1% – 71.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (31.33%), project points - 45, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (57%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Mirandés has the most likely position - 17 (11.25%), project points - 52, currently - 40, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, importance 45, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ponferradina will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Mirandés?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Ponferradina?
Mirandés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Mirandés were as follows:
17.12.2022
Mirandés
-
Ponferradina
2:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation