Result
0:0
26/03/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33
- Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina 40.3% | Draw 30.2% | Mirandés 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Ponferradina - Mirandés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.55) |
3.09 ↑ (2.92) |
3.15 ↑ (2.8) |
7% (9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Mirandés?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Mirandés will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponferradina: 28.1% – 71.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (31.33%), project points - 45, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (57%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Mirandés has the most likely position - 17 (11.25%), project points - 52, currently - 40, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, importance 45, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ponferradina will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Mirandés?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Ponferradina?
Mirandés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Mirandés were as follows:
17.12.2022
Mirandés
-
Ponferradina
2:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Dep. La Coruna | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
2 | Racing Santander | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Cadiz CF | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
4 | Andorra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Las Palmas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
6 | Huesca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
7 | Burgos CF | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
8 | Valladolid | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
9 | Almeria | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Eibar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
11 | Castellon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Ceuta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Leganes | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
14 | Albacete | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 |
15 | Gijon | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
16 | Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
17 | Mirandes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
18 | Granada CF | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
19 | Malaga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Cultural Leonesa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
21 | Zaragoza | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation