Result
0:0
26/03/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33
- Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina 40.3% | Draw 30.2% | Mirandés 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Ponferradina - Mirandés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.55) |
3.09 ↑ (2.92) |
3.15 ↑ (2.8) |
7% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Mirandés?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Mirandés will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponferradina: 28.1% – 71.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (31.33%), project points - 45, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (57%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Mirandés has the most likely position - 17 (11.25%), project points - 52, currently - 40, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, importance 45, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ponferradina will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Mirandés?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Ponferradina?
Mirandés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Mirandés were as follows:
17.12.2022
Mirandés
-
Ponferradina
2:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 79:57 | 22 | 72 |
| 2 | Almeria | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 78:58 | 20 | 70 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 51:32 | 19 | 66 |
| 5 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 6 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 46:58 | -12 | 54 |
| 12 | Gijon | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 51:49 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 42 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Huesca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 39:59 | -20 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 42:64 | -22 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation