Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 25
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.13
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1124
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
76% (194/256)90% (519/575)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.45
Total shots
1124
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
510
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
928
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
811
Passes
76% (194/256)90% (519/575)
Long passes
38% (24/63)58% (18/31)
Passes in final third
58% (49/84)83% (185/222)
Crosses
11% (1/9)29% (13/45)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.27
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
118
Tackles
60% (9/15)71% (15/21)
Duels won
3954
Clearances
416
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.451.25
Goals prevented
0.450.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Vitor Hugo ⚽, Rony (A),
  • 31', Edson Carioca ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
  • 41', Yago Felipe 🟨,
  • 44', Alonso J. 🟥,
  • 45', Sampaoli J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Bernard ↓, Roman I. ↑,
  • 45+4', Igor Gomes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yago Felipe ↓, Alesson ↑,
  • 60', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
  • 60', Neto Moura ↓, Shaylon ↑,
  • 63', Igor Gomes ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
  • 64', Biel ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
  • 68', Everson 🟨,
  • 73', Rony ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
  • 73', Caio Paulista ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
  • 79', Gabriel ↓, Guilherme ↑,
  • 82', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
  • 90+1', Danielzinho 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hulk 🟨,
  • 90+7', Alesson 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
50.5%		Draw
27.9%		Mirassol
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 28.7% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 28.5% 23.6%

Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.88 ↓
(1.95)		 3.55 ↑
(3.25)		 4.66 ↑
(4)		 2.8%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 35.9% – 97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mirassol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Atlético MG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Cuello (Ankle Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Renzo Saravia (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: PH (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Alexsander (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Chico (Injury) Da Silva (Injury) Guilherme (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    24.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar 1:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1 ✺
    11.09.2025 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Mirassol
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Mirassol - Bahia 5:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Fortaleza - Mirassol 0:1 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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