Result
2:2
26/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (207/279) | 83% (387/465) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (207/279) | 83% (387/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (61/88) | 72% (83/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 3.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | 1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Edson Carioca ⚽, Cristian Renato (A),
- 28', Hulk 🟨,
- 34', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Franco A. ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
- 46', Lucas Ramon ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 50', Alex Muralha 🟨,
- 57', Daniel Borges 🟨,
- 61', Natanael ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
- 61', Romulus ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 67', Yago Felipe ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 67', Edson Carioca ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Rony ⚽, Hulk (A),
- 74', Negueba ↓, Maceio ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Hulk (Pen),
- 82', Jose Aldo ↓, Daniel Fabricio ↑,
- 82', Maceio 🟨,
- 83', Rony ↓, Igor Rabello ↑,
- 89', Alonso J. ↓, Roman I. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Reinaldo ⚽,
- 90+5', Roman I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
29.6% | Draw
30.9% | Atlético Mineiro
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.88) |
3.08 ↓
(3.26) |
2.41 ↓
(2.47) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Gabriel
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Inactive)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Thigh Injury)
Junior Santos
(Muscle Injury)
Palacios Alzate B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Gabriel Menino
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Atlético Mineiro?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Mirassol?
Atlético Mineiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
