Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (194/256) | 90% (519/575) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (194/256) | 90% (519/575) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 58% (18/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/84) | 83% (185/222) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 29% (13/45) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Vitor Hugo ⚽, Rony (A),
- 31', Edson Carioca ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 41', Yago Felipe 🟨,
- 44', Alonso J. 🟥,
- 45', Sampaoli J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bernard ↓, Roman I. ↑,
- 45+4', Igor Gomes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yago Felipe ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 60', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 60', Neto Moura ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 63', Igor Gomes ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 64', Biel ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
- 68', Everson 🟨,
- 73', Rony ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 73', Caio Paulista ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 79', Gabriel ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 82', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
- 90+1', Danielzinho 🟨,
- 90+3', Hulk 🟨,
- 90+7', Alesson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
50.5% | Draw
27.9% | Mirassol
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.95) |
3.55 ↑
(3.25) |
4.66 ↑
(4) |
2.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Mirassol (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Mirassol (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirassol will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mirassol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlético MG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Renzo Saravia
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: PH
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Chico
(Injury)
Da Silva
(Injury)
Guilherme
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Mirassol?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Atlético Mineiro?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol were as follows:
26.04.2025
Mirassol
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
