Result
4:1
16/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (310/369) | 89% (466/524) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (310/369) | 89% (466/524) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 67% (33/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (44/63) | 82% (155/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Daniel Borges ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
- 15', Braithwaite M. 🟨,
- 18', Tiago Volpi 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Reinaldo (Pen),
- 30', Gabriel ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Camilo Reijers ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 46', Cristaldo F. ↓, Dodi ↑,
- 57', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 57', Cristian Renato ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 60', Villasanti M. 🟨,
- 64', Negueba 🟨,
- 65', Pavon C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 66', Edenilson 🟨,
- 77', Villasanti M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Reinaldo ⚽,
- 80', Iury Castilho ↓, Clayson ↑,
- 80', Neto Moura ↓, Roni ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Braithwaite M. ⚽, Arezo M. (A),
- 84', Amuzu F. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 85', 4 - 1, Daniel Borges ⚽, Clayson (A),
- 87', Daniel Borges 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
38.1% | Draw
31% | Grêmio
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mirassol - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(3.02) |
3.07 ↓
(3.13) |
3.03 ↑
(2.47) |
5.6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Mirassol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Grêmio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Olivera C.
(Inactive)
Walter Kannemann
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Negueba
(Inactive)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Luis Eduardo
(Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
- Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Grêmio?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Mirassol?
Grêmio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Grêmio were as follows:
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Ceara | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
