Result
2:1
17/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 10
- Referee: Batalha M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/390) | 75% (247/331) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (83/126) | 44% (29/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 42% (5/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (6/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Iury Castilho ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
- 31', Jean Irmer 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Jean Irmer ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
- 46', Reverson ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
- 46', Airton ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 56', Pablo Dyego 🟨,
- 58', Iury Castilho ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
- 61', Leo Tocantins ↓, Waguininho ↑,
- 64', Clayson ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 70', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Leo Natel ⚽, Matheus Frizzo (A),
- 76', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Pablo Dyego ⚽, Luis Oyama (A),
- 83', Robson 🟨,
- 84', Gabriel ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
- 84', Neto Moura ↓, Roni ↑,
- 84', Lucas Ramon ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 87', Luis Oyama 🟨,
- 90+5', Waguininho 🟨,
- 90+6', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
42.5% | Draw
30.3% | Mirassol
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.39) |
3.02 ↓
(3.12) |
3.41 ↑
(2.98) |
8.4%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 68.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Novorizontino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Novorizontino will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Mirassol?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol were as follows:
19.10.2024
Mirassol
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
02.07.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Mirassol
1:1
28.01.2024
Mirassol
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:1
11.08.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Mirassol
2:1
03.05.2023
Mirassol
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:2
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Mirassol
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
