Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 33
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Flow Eventos |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Flow |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/390) | 77% (238/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 3.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/390) | 77% (238/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (14/35) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (74/106) | 66% (63/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.18 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Gabriel ⚽, Lucas Ramon (A),
- 27', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Vitor Roque ⚽, Allan (A),
- 33', Chico 🟨,
- 45+1', Pereira A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 46', Murilo ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
- 54', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 62', Jose Aldo ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
- 62', Cristian Renato ↓, Chico ↑,
- 66', Gabriel ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 66', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
- 69', Khellven ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 69', Moreno A. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 81', Pereira A. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 83', Alesson ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
- 83', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 83', Walter 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol 26.3% | Draw 28.2% | Palmeiras 45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mirassol - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.64 ↑ (3.63) |
3.36 ↑ (3.36) |
2.09 ↑ (2.03) |
5.1% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Palmeiras might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Daniel Borges
(Yellow Cards)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
PH
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Weverton
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Palmeiras?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Mirassol?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Palmeiras were as follows:
16.07.2025
Palmeiras
-
Mirassol
1:1
23.02.2025
Mirassol
-
Palmeiras
2:3
24.02.2024
Palmeiras
-
Mirassol
3:1
01.02.2023
Mirassol
-
Palmeiras
0:2
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino ✔ | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet