Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (302/360) | 89% (423/474) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (302/360) | 89% (423/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (34/57) | 69% (29/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (68/97) | 84% (138/164) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Mauricio (A),
- 29', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 46', Reinaldo ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- 46', Neto Moura ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
- 58', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 67', Carlos Miguel 🟨,
- 70', Arthur Gabriel ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
- 70', Arias J. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 70', Igor Formiga 🟨,
- 73', Andre Luis ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 78', Shaylon ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 80', Mauricio ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 81', Marlon Freitas ↓, Larson ↑,
- 90+6', Negueba 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
57.3% | Draw
24.8% | Mirassol
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palmeiras's form might have worsened.Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-5%)
Palmeiras - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.44) |
3.83 ↓
(4.12) |
5.25 ↓
(6.63) |
5.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
- Palmeiras is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mirassol's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo
(Injury)
Mauricio
(Inactive)
Murilo
(Inactive)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Vitor Roque
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Eduardo
(Injury)
Igor Carius
(Injury)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
- We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Mirassol?
Palmeiras has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Palmeiras?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Mirassol were as follows:
17.01.2026
Palmeiras
-
Mirassol
1:0
09.11.2025
Mirassol
-
Palmeiras
2:1
16.07.2025
Palmeiras
-
Mirassol
1:1
23.02.2025
Mirassol
-
Palmeiras
2:3
24.02.2024
Palmeiras
-
Mirassol
3:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
