Mirassol vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol).

Serie A Betano - Round 33
Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.21	1.13
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
8	6
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	8
Passes
83% (323/390)	77% (238/311)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21	1.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	3.18
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	8
Touches in opposition box
25	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
17	15
Passes
83% (323/390)	77% (238/311)
Long passes
40% (14/35)	45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
70% (74/106)	66% (63/96)
Crosses
16% (4/25)	12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	1.08
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
15	17
Tackles
47% (9/19)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
61	57
Clearances
42	21
Interceptions
4	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	6
xGOT faced
3.18	0.94
Goals prevented
2.18	-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Gabriel ⚽, Lucas Ramon (A),
27', Jose Aldo 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Vitor Roque ⚽, Allan (A),
33', Chico 🟨,
45+1', Pereira A. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
46', Murilo ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
54', Joao Victor 🟨,
62', Jose Aldo ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
62', Cristian Renato ↓, Chico ↑,
66', Gabriel ↓, Shaylon ↑,
66', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
69', Khellven ↓, Mauricio ↑,
69', Moreno A. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
81', Pereira A. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
83', Alesson ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
83', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
83', Walter 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Mirassol
26.3%

Draw
28.2%

Palmeiras
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

28.1%

46.4%

Mirassol - Palmeiras Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	3.36 ↑ (3.36)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)	5.1% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Palmeiras might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Daniel Borges (Yellow Cards) Edson Carioca (Muscle Injury) PH (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista (Hamstring Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Weverton (Injury)
There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Palmeiras?

Mirassol has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Mirassol?

Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Palmeiras were as follows:

16.07.2025 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:1

23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3

24.02.2024 Palmeiras - Mirassol 3:1

01.02.2023 Mirassol - Palmeiras 0:2

Latest results of Mirassol

06.11.2025 Fluminense - Mirassol 1:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Mirassol - Botafogo RJ 0:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Sport Recife - Mirassol 1:2 ✺

19.10.2025 Mirassol - São Paulo 3:0 ✺

15.10.2025 Mirassol - Internacional RS 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Palmeiras

06.11.2025 Palmeiras - Santos 2:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Juventude - Palmeiras 0:2 ✺

30.10.2025 Palmeiras - LDU Quito 4:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 0:0 ✺

23.10.2025 LDU Quito - Palmeiras 3:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palmeiras ✔	32	21	5	6	58:28	30	68
2	Flamengo RJ ✔	32	20	8	4	64:20	44	68
3	Cruzeiro	33	18	10	5	46:22	24	64
4	Mirassol	33	16	11	6	54:33	21	59
5	Bahia	33	15	8	10	44:40	4	53
6	Botafogo RJ	33	14	10	9	44:28	16	52
7	Fluminense	33	15	6	12	38:37	1	51
8	Sao Paulo	33	12	9	12	37:36	1	45
9	Atletico-MG	33	11	11	11	37:37	0	44
10	Vasco	33	12	6	15	50:49	1	42
11	Bragantino	33	12	6	15	38:50	-12	42
12	Ceara	33	11	9	13	31:30	1	42
13	Corinthians	33	11	9	13	35:38	-3	42
14	Gremio	33	10	10	13	35:43	-8	40
15	Internacional	33	9	10	14	37:46	-9	37
16	Vitoria	33	8	11	14	29:47	-18	35
17	Santos	32	8	9	15	33:48	-15	33
18	Juventude	33	9	5	19	29:59	-30	32
19	Fortaleza	33	7	10	16	34:51	-17	31
20	Sport Recife	32	2	11	19	24:55	-31	17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

Clinched Spots for Teams

Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )