Palmeiras vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Palmeiras - Mirassol
Result
1:1
16/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 14
  • Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.78
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (317/379)84% (303/361)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.760.79
Total shots
163
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
84% (317/379)84% (303/361)
Long passes
44% (25/57)55% (24/44)
Passes in final third
76% (102/135)75% (62/83)
Crosses
24% (5/21)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.70
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
1317
Tackles
67% (12/18)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5446
Clearances
1830
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.790.76
Goals prevented
-0.21-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Yago Felipe 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Torres F. , Raphael Veiga (A),
  • 58', Alesson , Negueba ,
  • 58', Yago Felipe , Chico ,
  • 59', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 66', Vitor Roque , Flaco Lopez ,
  • 66', Raphael Veiga , Mauricio ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Chico , Joao Victor (A),
  • 75', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 75', Edson Carioca , Chico Kim ,
  • 75', Felipe Anderson , Sosa R. ,
  • 75', Torres F. , Allan ,
  • 82', Danielzinho 🟨,
  • 88', Gabriel , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 89', Flaco Lopez 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
66.9%
Draw
21.6%
Mirassol
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 20.9% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Palmeiras - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.41)
    4.38
    (4.52)
    8.3
    (7.66)
    5.4%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 42 - 89.4%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 2.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 80.6%98.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
    • Palmeiras has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Figueiredo (Inactive) Giay A. (Injury) Murilo (Thigh Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Sosa R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Mirassol were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3
    24.02.2024 Palmeiras - Mirassol 3:1
    01.02.2023 Mirassol - Palmeiras 0:2
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    13.07.2025 Santos - Palmeiras Postponed
    04.07.2025 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2
    23.06.2025 Inter Miami - Palmeiras 2:2
    19.06.2025 Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo 2:0
    15.06.2025 Palmeiras - Porto 0:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    01.06.2025 Mirassol - Sport Recife 1:0
    24.05.2025 São Paulo - Mirassol 0:2
    10.05.2025 Mirassol - Corinthians 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet