Palmeiras vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Palmeiras - Mirassol
Result
1:1
16/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 14
  • Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.78
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (317/379)84% (303/361)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.760.79
Total shots
163
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
84% (317/379)84% (303/361)
Long passes
44% (25/57)55% (24/44)
Passes in final third
76% (102/135)75% (62/83)
Crosses
24% (5/21)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.70
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
1317
Tackles
67% (12/18)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5446
Clearances
1830
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.790.76
Goals prevented
-0.21-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Yago Felipe 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Torres F. , Raphael Veiga (A),
  • 58', Alesson , Negueba ,
  • 58', Yago Felipe , Chico ,
  • 59', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 66', Vitor Roque , Flaco Lopez ,
  • 66', Raphael Veiga , Mauricio ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Chico , Joao Victor (A),
  • 75', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 75', Edson Carioca , Chico Kim ,
  • 75', Felipe Anderson , Sosa R. ,
  • 75', Torres F. , Allan ,
  • 82', Danielzinho 🟨,
  • 88', Gabriel , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 89', Flaco Lopez 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
66.9%
Draw
21.6%
Mirassol
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 20.9% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Palmeiras - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.41)
    4.38
    (4.52)
    8.3
    (7.66)
    5.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 42 - 89.4%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 2.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 80.6%98.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
    • Palmeiras has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Figueiredo (Inactive) Giay A. (Injury) Murilo (Thigh Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Sosa R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Mirassol were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3
    24.02.2024 Palmeiras - Mirassol 3:1
    01.02.2023 Mirassol - Palmeiras 0:2
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    13.07.2025 Santos - Palmeiras Postponed
    04.07.2025 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2
    23.06.2025 Inter Miami - Palmeiras 2:2
    19.06.2025 Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo 2:0
    15.06.2025 Palmeiras - Porto 0:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    13.07.2025 Mirassol - Fluminense Postponed
    01.06.2025 Mirassol - Sport Recife 1:0
    24.05.2025 São Paulo - Mirassol 0:2
    10.05.2025 Mirassol - Corinthians 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet