Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (434/521) | 73% (210/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (434/521) | 73% (210/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (38/54) | 47% (29/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (132/183) | 57% (39/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Negueba ⚽, Neto Moura (A),
- 20', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Maceio ⚽, Caio Roque (A),
- 29', Igor Carius ↓, Rodrigues ↑,
- 33', Reinaldo ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- 45+5', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alesson ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 46', Jose Aldo ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 58', Bruno Bertinato 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 2, Ewerthon ⚽, Gabriel Pires (A),
- 68', Joao Vitor ↓, Cauari ↑,
- 68', Rene ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
- 69', Cauari 🟨,
- 75', Matheus Cecchini 🟨,
- 76', Lucas Mugni ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 79', Ewerthon ↓, Gustavo Sciencia ↑,
- 80', Caio Roque ↓, Eric Botteghin ↑,
- 85', Matheus Cecchini ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 90', Joao Victor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
60.2% | Draw
24.7% | Portuguesa
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Mirassol - Portuguesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.53) |
3.77 ↑
(3.68) |
6.1 ↓
(6.14) |
7.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In recent matches, Mirassol has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Portuguesa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Portuguesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Daniel Borges
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Portuguesa: Lucas Hipolito
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Eduardo
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Portuguesa?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against Mirassol?
Portuguesa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Portuguesa were as follows:
26.01.2025
Mirassol
-
Portuguesa
2:1
02.03.2024
Portuguesa
-
Mirassol
1:0
05.03.2023
Mirassol
-
Portuguesa
1:2
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Portuguesa
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
