Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 17
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (316/385) | 82% (324/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (316/385) | 82% (324/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (95/125) | 72% (71/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Edson Carioca ⚽, Yago Felipe (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Baralhas ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Yago Felipe ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 69', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 69', Negueba ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 72', Lucas Braga ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 72', Willian Oliveira ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 77', Osvaldo ↓, Felipe Cardoso ↑,
- 77', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 81', Neto Moura ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 81', Gabriel ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 86', Claudinho 🟨,
- 86', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 87', Ronald Lopes ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 90+3', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol 57.4% | Draw 26.6% | Vitória Salvador 15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Mirassol - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↓ (1.9) |
3.72 ↑ (3.35) |
6.23 ↑ (4.4) |
1.2% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- Vitória has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Danielzinho
(Yellow Cards)
PH
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Cantalapiedra A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Erick
(Yellow Cards)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Injury)
Neris
(Muscle Injury)
Ramos R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Romarinho
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Erick
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Vitória Salvador?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Mirassol?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
01.09.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Mirassol
0:0
19.05.2023
Mirassol
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet