Result
2:0
29/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (146/208) | 88% (529/599) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 3.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 45 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (146/208) | 88% (529/599) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 68% (23/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (39/64) | 78% (149/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.22 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 3.22 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Lucas Halter ⚽,
- 35', Edu ↓, Ze Marcos ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 61', Jose Aldo ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
- 61', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Chico ↑,
- 61', Reinaldo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
- 63', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
- 67', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 67', Erick ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
- 67', Gabriel ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
- 78', Alesson ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 79', Willian Oliveira ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 79', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Matheuzinho (Pen),
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
38.3% | Draw
30.4% | Mirassol
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Vitória Salvador - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(2.81) |
3.1 ↑
(2.92) |
3.05 ↑
(2.92) |
4.8%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 20%). Mirassol (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vitória: Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Lucas Arcanjo
(Knee Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Jemmes
(Yellow Cards)
PH
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Claudinho
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Vitória won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Mirassol?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Vitória Salvador?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Mirassol were as follows:
26.07.2025
Mirassol
-
Vitória Salvador
1:1
01.09.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Mirassol
0:0
19.05.2023
Mirassol
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
