Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/295) | 83% (362/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/295) | 83% (362/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 72% (96/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Gabriel Pires 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Baralhas ⚽,
- 45+6', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gabriel Pires ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 58', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 58', Ramon ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 61', Yuri Lara ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 61', Neto Moura ↓, Denilson ↑,
- 68', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 69', Erick ↓, Anderson ↑,
- 69', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 69', Galeano A. ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 70', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 72', Edson Carioca 🟨,
- 73', Igor Formiga ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 75', Matheuzinho ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
36.4% | Draw
30.4% | Mirassol
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Vitória Salvador - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.64) |
3.11 ↓
(3.31) |
2.85 ↑
(2.69) |
5.5%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
- Recent performances by Vitória have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mirassol is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Dudu
(Inactive)
Edu
(Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Marinho
(Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Eduardo
(Injury)
Igor Carius
(Injury)
Jose Aldo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Renato Marques
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Mirassol?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Vitória Salvador?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Mirassol were as follows:
29.11.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Mirassol
2:0
26.07.2025
Mirassol
-
Vitória Salvador
1:1
01.09.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Mirassol
0:0
19.05.2023
Mirassol
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
