Miriana Tona vs Midori Castillo Meza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Huamantla, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
73

Chances of winning


Miriana Tona
65.9%
Midori Castillo Meza
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miriana Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miriana Tona's performance.
  • Midori Castillo Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Midori Castillo Meza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miriana Tona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miriana Tona that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midori Castillo Meza than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midori Castillo Meza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miriana Tona - Midori Castillo Meza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.56)

    2.72
    (2.22)
    7.8%
    (9.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tona is ranked WTA: 360. Castillo Meza is ranked WTA: 999.
    • Tona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Castillo Meza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tona might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Miriana Tona
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Sanchez A. S. (1)Montiel P.2 : 0
    2Torres Murcia M. C.Millan I. C.2 : 1
    3Hinojosa Gomez J.Fernandez L.2 : 1
    4Hitt Z.Reasco Gonzalez M. E. (7)0 : 2
    5Tona M. (3)Castillo Meza M.2 : 0
    6Nava Elkin A. C.Barrera Aguirre I.0 : 2
    7Senties X.Sanchez Bahamon A.2 : 0
    8Nita S. (RET.)Cabezas Dominguez E. (8)0 : 1
    9Rodriguez V. (6)Malkin M.0 : 2
    10Martinez Solis C. S.Motosono K.2 : 0
    11Navarro M. F.Mdlulwa W.2 : 0
    12Mdlulwa W.Cherubini D. (4)0 : 2
    13Strakhova V. (5)Van Impe A.2 : 0
    14Marron Baruqui M.Imbo Nloga S.2 : 0
    15Perez Garcia M. P.Herazo Gonzalez M.0 : 2
    16Foshee I.Giavara H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sanchez A. S. (1)Torres Murcia M. C.2 : 0
    2Hinojosa Gomez J.Reasco Gonzalez M. E. (7)2 : 0
    3Tona M. (3)Barrera Aguirre I.2 : 0
    4Senties X.Cabezas Dominguez E. (8)0 : 2
    5Malkin M.Martinez Solis C. S.2 : 1
    6Navarro M. F.Cherubini D. (4)1 : 2
    7Strakhova V. (5)Marron Baruqui M.2 : 0
    8Herazo Gonzalez M.Giavara H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sanchez A. S. (1)Hinojosa Gomez J.0 : 2
    2Tona M. (3)Cabezas Dominguez E. (8)2 : 0
    3Malkin M.Cherubini D. (4)0 : 2
    4Strakhova V. (5)Giavara H. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Hinojosa Gomez J.Tona M. (3)0 : 2
    2Cherubini D. (4)Strakhova V. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Tona M. (3)Strakhova V. (5)