Mirza Basic vs Mathys Erhard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
72%56%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (28/36)69% (24/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (7/14)36% (10/28)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
31% (11/35)22% (8/36)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (18/28)50% (7/14)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)33% (1/3)
Winners
1515
Unforced Errors
1635
Net Points Won
62% (8/13)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
70% (35/50)54% (34/63)
Return Points Won
46% (29/63)30% (15/50)
Total Points Won
57% (64/113)43% (49/113)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Mirza Basic
41.7%
Mathys Erhard
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirza Basic's performance.
  • Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mathys Erhard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirza Basic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mirza Basic - Mathys Erhard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.63)

    1.6
    (1.44)
    7.2%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Basic is ranked ATP: 515. Erhard is ranked ATP: 334.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Basic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Erhard could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mirza Basic
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinclair C. (LL)Samuel T.0 : 2
    2Pankin S. (Q)Pieczkowski O.2 : 0
    3Homberg M. (Q)Ouakaa A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Blanch D.Fomin S. (8)1 : 2
    5Bar Biryukov P. (RET.) (3)Zakaria F.1 : 1
    6Bobichon M. (Q)Dzhavakian Y. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Ritschard A.Albot R.2 : 0
    8Berkieta T. (JR)Kellovsky D. (LL)0 : 2
    9Brunclik P. (6)Summers M. (LL)2 : 1
    10Naw H. (PR)Xilas I.0 : 2
    11Agafonov E.Basic M.0 : 2
    12Ehrenschneider N. (Alt)Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    13Binda A. (9)Melnic V. (WC)1 : 2
    14Maguire C. (WC)Marrero Curbelo I. (Q)0 : 2
    15Niklas-Salminen P. (Q)Vasa E.0 : 2
    16Bakshi A.Simakin I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Samuel T.Pankin S.2 : 0
    2Homberg M.Fomin S. (8)0 : 2
    3Zakaria F.Bobichon M.0 : 2
    4Ritschard A.Kellovsky D.2 : 1
    5Brunclik P. (6)Xilas I.2 : 0
    6Basic M.Erhard M. (4)2 : 0
    7Melnic V.Marrero Curbelo I.1 : 2
    8Vasa E.Simakin I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Samuel T.Fomin S. (8)2 : 0
    2Bobichon M.Ritschard A.2 : 1
    3Brunclik P. (6)Basic M.2 : 0
    4Marrero Curbelo I.Simakin I. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Samuel T.Bobichon M.2 : 0
    2Brunclik P. (6)Simakin I. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Samuel T.Simakin I. (2)2 : 0