Misaki Matsuda vs Xinxin Yao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W35 Qian Daohu Women Misaki Matsuda - Xinxin Yao
Result
2:1
21/10/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Qian Daohu, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
73

Chances of winning


Misaki Matsuda
53.2%
Xinxin Yao
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Misaki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Xinxin Yao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Misaki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinxin Yao than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Misaki Matsuda - Xinxin Yao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.83)

    1.98
    (1.83)
    8.2%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Matsuda is ranked WTA: 586. Yao is ranked WTA: 318.
    • Matsuda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Yao is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Misaki Matsuda
    Latest results of Xinxin Yao
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Falei A. (1)Naklo T.2 : 0
    2Shao Y.Huang Yujia2 : 0
    3Morvayova V.Guo M.1 : 2
    4Ren Y.Zavatska K. (8)1 : 2
    5Lu J. (4)Wang M.1 : 2
    6Zhang Y.Li Z.0 : 2
    7Ye S.Lin Y. J.2 : 1
    8Ovcharenko E.Yang Y. (7)0 : 2
    9Yamazaki I. (6)Astakhova D.1 : 2
    10Bai Z.Wang J.1 : 2
    11Kalyakina M.Kuwata H.1 : 2
    12Zolotareva R.Reyngold E. (3)0 : 2
    13Saigo R. (5)Kobayashi H.2 : 0
    14Lu J.Chanta A.0 : 2
    15Sidorova K.Kudashova D.2 : 0
    16Matsuda M.Yao X. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Falei A. (1)Shao Y.1 : 2
    2Guo M.Zavatska K. (8)0 : 2
    3Wang M.Li Z.0 : 2
    4Ye S.Yang Y. (7)2 : 0
    5Astakhova D.Wang J.2 : 0
    6Kuwata H.Reyngold E. (3)0 : 2
    7Saigo R. (5)Chanta A.2 : 0
    8Sidorova K.Matsuda M.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shao Y.Zavatska K. (8)0 : 2
    2Li Z.Ye S.0 : 2
    3Astakhova D.Reyngold E. (3)0 : 2
    4Saigo R. (5)Matsuda M.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zavatska K. (8)Ye S.2 : 1
    2Reyngold E. (3)Matsuda M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Zavatska K. (8)Reyngold E. (3)