Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        03/08/2025 at  06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  J2 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Japan | DAZN Japan | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 61% | 39% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (475/578) | 68% (213/311) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 10 | 11 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (475/578) | 68% (213/311) | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 13 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Kato C. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Handai M. ↓, Kumashiro K. ↑, 
- 62', Abe K. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑, 
- 62', Kato C. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑, 
- 62', Kubo S. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑, 
- 68', 1 - 1, Konagaya C. ⚽, 
- 73', Watanabe A. ↓, Ushizawa T. ↑, 
- 73', Saito S. ↓, Arai M. ↑, 
- 79', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑, 
- 80', 2 - 1, Konagaya C. ⚽, 
- 82', Nagao Y. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑, 
- 88', Konagaya C. ↓, Matsuoka R. ↑, 
- 89', Iwashita W. ↓, Mishima S. ↑, 
- 90+1', Omori S. 🟨, 
- 90+1', Kamimura S. 🟨, 
- 90+3', Shiohama R. 🟨, 
- 90+4', Shiohama R. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Roasso Kumamoto 28.4%
 | Draw 29.1%
 | Mito HollyHock 42.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-0.2%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Roasso Kumamoto - Mito HollyHock Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.25 ↑ (3.22)
 | 3.17 ↓ (3.31)
 | 2.17 ↓ (2.25)
 | 8.4% (5.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto - Mito HollyHock?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            24 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 63% – 95.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mito HollyHock will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 0.
- Recent form of Kumamoto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mito HollyHock is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mito HollyHock might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Roasso Kumamoto won against Mito HollyHock?
                    
                    
                        
                            Roasso Kumamoto has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Roasso Kumamoto?
                    
                    
                        
                             Mito HollyHock has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Roasso Kumamoto - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.05.2025 
                                Mito HollyHock 
                                - 
                                Roasso Kumamoto 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.03.2025 
                                Mito HollyHock 
                                - 
                                Roasso Kumamoto 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.08.2024 
                                Roasso Kumamoto 
                                - 
                                Mito HollyHock 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.06.2024 
                                Roasso Kumamoto 
                                - 
                                Mito HollyHock 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.05.2024 
                                Mito HollyHock 
                                - 
                                Roasso Kumamoto 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Roasso Kumamoto                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Mito HollyHock                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Japan J2 League Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56:41 | 15 | 63 | 
| 2 | Mito | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 50:30 | 20 | 61 | 
| 3 | Chiba | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 | 
| 4 | Tokushima | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 38:20 | 18 | 57 | 
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 48:32 | 16 | 56 | 
| 6 | Sagan Tosu | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 56 | 
| 7 | Vegalta Sendai | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 40:30 | 10 | 55 | 
| 8 | Iwata | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 49:46 | 3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Imabari | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 49 | 
| 10 | Iwaki | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 | 
| 11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 46 | 
| 12 | Kofu | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 | 
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 48:47 | 1 | 42 | 
| 14 | Blaublitz | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 40:50 | -10 | 38 | 
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | -6 | 37 | 
| 16 | Kumamoto | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40:52 | -12 | 35 | 
| 17 | Oita Trinita | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 35 | 
| 18 | Toyama | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 25:45 | -20 | 27 | 
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | 
| 20 | Ehime | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 32:59 | -27 | 20 | 
      Promotion ~ J1 League
      Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
      Relegation ~ J3 League