Result
1:2
07/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Rosales S. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Massaccesi A. ⚽,
- 38', Montenegro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 2, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
- 61', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
- 64', Tcherkaski F. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 64', Gutierrez I. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
- 64', Romero N. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 64', Rios L. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
- 65', Penepil M. 🟨,
- 74', Montenegro M. ↓, Gallardo D. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez R. ↓, Kabalin M. ↑,
- 76', Massaccesi A. 🟨,
- 78', Benitez A. ↓, Gomez B. ↑,
- 81', Rosales S. ↓, Oses M. ↑,
- 84', Gonzalez E. ↓, Villalba G. ↑,
- 84', Moyano P. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
- 90', Aguirre E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mitre
42.8% | Draw
35% | Defensores de Belgrano
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.21) |
2.67 ↓
(2.78) |
4.19 ↑
(3.6) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mitre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mitre could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mitre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Mitre won against Defensores de Belgrano?
Mitre has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensores de Belgrano won against Mitre?
Defensores de Belgrano has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano were as follows:
05.05.2025
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Mitre
1:0
19.10.2024
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Mitre
0:0
02.06.2024
Mitre
-
Defensores de Belgrano
2:0
Latest results of Defensores de Belgrano
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | |
