Ilia Simakin vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/02/2026 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
62%74%
1st serve points won
73% (44/60)69% (55/80)
2nd serve points won
62% (23/37)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)70% (7/10)
1st return points won
33% (26/80)27% (16/60)
2nd return points won
57% (16/28)38% (14/37)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)29% (2/7)
Winners
3016
Unforced errors
4836
Net points won
70% (16/23)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
69% (66/96)61% (66/108)
Return Points Won
39% (42/108)31% (30/96)
Total Points Won
53% (108/204)47% (96/204)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
16
Service games won
87% (13/15)80% (12/15)
Return games won
20% (3/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Ilia Simakin
79.3%
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilia Simakin's performance.
  • Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilia Simakin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ilia Simakin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.33)

    4.4
    (3.13)
    7.3%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Ilia Simakin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Simakin is ranked ATP: 226. Leong is ranked ATP: 684.
    • Simakin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Leong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Simakin is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simakin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilia Simakin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong were as follows:
    15.01.2026 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Ilia Simakin 0:2
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Ivashka I. (PR)1 : 2
    2Dhamne M. (WC)Sakellaridis S.2 : 0
    3Ajdukovic D.Shin S.2 : 0
    4Bar Biryukov P.Ferreira Silva F. (5)0 : 2
    5Simakin I. (3)Leong M. W. K. (Q)2 : 1
    6Gray A.Michalski D.2 : 1
    7Carboni L. (NG)Shimizu Y.0 : 2
    8Kumasaka T. (Q)Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    9Noguchi R. (7)Nagal S.0 : 2
    10Geerts M.Gill F.1 : 2
    11Kasnikowski M. (Q)Singh K. (WC)2 : 0
    12Huang T. (LL)Crawford O. (4)1 : 2
    13Butvilas E. (8)Vishal Balsekar A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Wu Tung-Lin (Q)Binda A. (LL)2 : 0
    15Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    16Takahashi Y. (Q)Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ivashka I. (RET.)Dhamne M.0 : 1
    2Ajdukovic D.Ferreira Silva F. (5)2 : 0
    3Simakin I. (3)Gray A.1 : 2
    4Shimizu Y.Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    5Nagal S.Gill F.1 : 2
    6Kasnikowski M. (WO.)Crawford O. (4)
    7Butvilas E. (8)Wu Tung-Lin (RET.)1 : 0
    8Imamura M.Clarke J. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Dhamne M.Ajdukovic D.1 : 2
    2Gray A.Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    3Gill F.Kasnikowski M.2 : 1
    4Butvilas E. (8)Imamura M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ajdukovic D.Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    2Gill F.Butvilas E. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Cina F. (6)Gill F.2 : 1