Nova Mutum vs Mixto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Matogrossense - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Esquerdinha ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Yan Suhet ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Nova Mutum
18.2%
Draw
27.7%
Mixto
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 26.1% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2% 25.2% 58%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nova Mutum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Mixto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Nova Mutum - Mixto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.98
    (5.12)
    3.27
    (3.5)
    1.67
    (1.63)
    10.4%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Nova Mutum has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mixto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Nova Mutum has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Mixto is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nova Mutum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nova Mutum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Mutum - Mixto were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Mixto - Nova Mutum 5:0
    20.01.2024 Nova Mutum - Mixto 0:1
    09.02.2023 Mixto - Nova Mutum 1:0
    Latest results of Nova Mutum
    31.01.2026 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 2:1
    28.01.2026 Nova Mutum - Chapada 3:2
    22.01.2026 Primavera AC - Nova Mutum 2:2
    Latest results of Mixto
    05.02.2026 Mixto - Sport Sinop 0:0
    31.01.2026 Mixto - Primavera AC 4:0
    28.01.2026 Operário Ltda - Mixto 1:4
    25.01.2026 Mixto - Várzea Grande 0:0
    21.01.2026 Luverdense - Mixto 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Luverdense (1)Bye
    2Sport Sinop (4)Cuiaba (5)1 : 0
    3Mixto (2)Bye
    4Operario VG (3)Nova Mutum (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Luverdense (1)Sport Sinop (4)2 : 2, 1 : 0
    2Mixto (2)Operario VG (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Luverdense (1)Mixto (2)