Mixto vs Porto Velho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Mixto - Porto Velho
Result
4:3
20/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
114
Total shots
149
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
114
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Emerson Machado ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 63', 2 - 2, Gilvan ,
  • 75', 3 - 2, Dionatha ,
  • 81', 4 - 2, Dionatha ,
  • 90+6', 4 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Mixto
54.6%
Draw
26.1%
Porto Velho
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 29.3% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 30.3% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mixto's performance.
  • Porto Velho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto Velho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mixto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Velho than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto Velho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mixto - Porto Velho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.31)
    3.49
    (3.1)
    4.73
    (2.89)
    9.9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Mixto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Porto Velho is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mixto
    29.03.2025 Mixto - Operário Ltda 3:2
    22.03.2025 Operário Ltda - Mixto 0:0
    15.03.2025 Mixto - Primavera AC 2:3
    10.03.2025 Primavera AC - Mixto 1:1
    22.02.2025 Primavera AC - Mixto 0:1
    Latest results of Porto Velho
    02.04.2025 Ji-Paraná - Porto Velho 0:0
    05.03.2025 Porto Velho - Guaporé 2:1
    19.02.2025 Porto Velho - Cuiabá 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3GoiatubaInter de Limeira
    4CianorteTBD #8