Result
2:3 penalties
15/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Matogrossense - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Pablo 🟨,
- 21', Savio Santos 🟨,
- 25', Bryan Gabriel 🟨,
- 43', Uesley Gaucho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Uesley Gaucho ↓, Juninho Ramos ↑,
- 68', Gilvan ↓, Luam Parede ↑,
- 68', Dionatha ↓, Abner ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Natan Bahia ⚽,
- 71', 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Luam Parede ⚽,
- 73', Danilinho ↓, Ricardo Liell ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Luam Parede ⚽,
- 84', Giovanni ↓, Mateus Alex ↑,
- 84', Savio Santos ↓, Romulo Chagas ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 86', Abner 🟨,
- 88', Geovani ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Otavio Passos (Own goal),
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Luam Parede (Pen),
- 1, Ricardo Liell (Pen),
- 2, Matheusinho (Pen),
- 2, Natan Bahia (Pen),
- 3, Abner (Pen),
- 3, Romulo Chagas (Pen),
- 4, Pablo (Pen),
- 4, Camargo (Pen),
Chances of winning
Mixto
55.2% | Draw
26.5% | Primavera AC
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Primavera AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Primavera AC than the current prediction. (+2%)
Mixto - Primavera AC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.75) |
3.44 ↑
(3.25) |
4.97 ↑
(4.2) |
9.7%
(11.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Mixto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Primavera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Primavera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Mixto is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Mixto to win the game is with odds 1.76.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Mixto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mixto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
How many head-to-head matches has Mixto won against Primavera AC?
Mixto has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Primavera AC won against Mixto?
Primavera AC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mixto - Primavera AC were as follows:
10.03.2025
Primavera AC
-
Mixto
1:1
22.02.2025
Primavera AC
-
Mixto
0:1
22.09.2024
Mixto
-
Primavera AC
2:0
Latest results of Primavera AC
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Cuiaba (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Operario VG (3) | Uniao Rondonopolis (6) | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Mixto (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Primavera AC (4) | Nova Mutum (5) | 5 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cuiaba (2) | Operario VG (3) | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Mixto (1) | Primavera AC (4) | 2 : 3, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Cuiaba (2) | Primavera AC (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
3rd place| 2 | Operario VG (3) | Mixto (1) | 2 : 3, 0 : 0 |
