Hammarby vs Mjällby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Hammarby - Mjällby
Result
1:2
22/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 18
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.75
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
269
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
82% (417/511)79% (338/428)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.93
Total shots
269
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
134
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
4122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
82% (417/511)79% (338/428)
Long passes
37% (13/35)29% (15/52)
Passes in final third
73% (137/188)71% (67/95)
Crosses
20% (4/20)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.88
Throw-ins
2113
Fouls
1018
Tackles
52% (14/27)60% (15/25)
Duels won
7153
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.931.03
Goals prevented
-1.070.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Thorell L. , Pettersson T. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Madjed M. , Tounekti S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Stavitski T. , Stroud E. ,
  • 60', Arrhenius R. , Gustafson V. ,
  • 60', Charles U. , Johansson H. ,
  • 61', Abraham P. , Boudah A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Johansson A. ,
  • 70', Thorell L. , Bang-Kittilsen B. ,
  • 77', Tounekti S. , Kabore M. ,
  • 79', Manneh A. , Bergstrom J. ,
  • 85', Tekie T. , Ortmark J. ,
  • 85', Vagic P. , Fofana I. ,
  • 85', Madjed M. , Lahdo A. ,
  • 89', Iqbal A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gustafson V. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hammarby
55.1%
Draw
23.6%
Mjällby
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.6% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 25.2% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby's performance.
  • Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Hammarby - Mjällby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.92)
    4.02
    (3.7)
    4.49
    (3.8)
    5.3%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hammarby - Mjällby?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Mjällby will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 47.5%89.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hammarby is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury) Winther F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mjällby: Gustavsson J. (Yellow Cards) Petersson A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Hammarby: Erabi J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M. (Inactive) Miettinen T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Mjällby were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Mjällby - Hammarby 3:1
    28.07.2024 Hammarby - Mjällby 3:0
    15.05.2024 Mjällby - Hammarby 3:0
    04.03.2024 Hammarby - Mjällby 1:1
    27.08.2023 Mjällby - Hammarby 0:3
    Latest results of Hammarby
    18.05.2025 AIK - Hammarby 0:0
    14.05.2025 Hammarby - Sirius 3:2
    11.05.2025 Hammarby - Norrköping 1:1
    04.05.2025 Öster - Hammarby 0:3
    27.04.2025 Häcken - Hammarby 1:1
    Latest results of Mjällby
    19.05.2025 Mjällby - Brommapojkarna 1:0
    15.05.2025 Djurgården - Mjällby 1:3
    11.05.2025 AIK - Mjällby 2:1
    04.05.2025 Mjällby - IFK Göteborg 1:0
    27.04.2025 Mjällby - Degerfors 4:1
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby18134135:142143
    2Hammarby18123334:161839
    3Malmo FF1896328:141433
    4AIK1896324:16833
    5Elfsborg17102531:22932
    6GAIS1787227:131431
    7Djurgarden1774621:18325
    8Goteborg1781824:26-225
    9Hacken1764725:31-622
    10Brommapojkarna17611023:25-219
    11Norrkoping1754825:29-419
    12Halmstad17521014:34-2017
    13Degerfors17421118:36-1814
    14Sirius17341022:30-813
    15Oster17341012:23-1113
    16Varnamo17141215:31-167

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan