Result
1:2
22/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 18
- Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (417/511) | 79% (338/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (417/511) | 79% (338/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (13/35) | 29% (15/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (137/188) | 71% (67/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.07 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Thorell L. ⚽, Pettersson T. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Madjed M. ⚽, Tounekti S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Stavitski T. ↓, Stroud E. ↑,
- 60', Arrhenius R. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
- 60', Charles U. ↓, Johansson H. ↑,
- 61', Abraham P. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Johansson A. ⚽,
- 70', Thorell L. ↓, Bang-Kittilsen B. ↑,
- 77', Tounekti S. ↓, Kabore M. ↑,
- 79', Manneh A. ↓, Bergstrom J. ↑,
- 85', Tekie T. ↓, Ortmark J. ↑,
- 85', Vagic P. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
- 85', Madjed M. ↓, Lahdo A. ↑,
- 89', Iqbal A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Gustafson V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hammarby
55.1% | Draw
23.6% | Mjällby
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby's performance.Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Hammarby - Mjällby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.92) |
4.02 ↑
(3.7) |
4.49 ↑
(3.8) |
5.3%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hammarby - Mjällby?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Mjällby will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 47.5% – 89.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hammarby is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D.
(Knee Injury)
Winther F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mjällby: Gustavsson J.
(Yellow Cards)
Petersson A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hammarby: Erabi J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M.
(Inactive)
Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Mjällby?
Hammarby has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Hammarby?
Mjällby has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Mjällby were as follows:
18.04.2025
Mjällby
-
Hammarby
3:1
28.07.2024
Hammarby
-
Mjällby
3:0
15.05.2024
Mjällby
-
Hammarby
3:0
04.03.2024
Hammarby
-
Mjällby
1:1
27.08.2023
Mjällby
-
Hammarby
0:3
Latest results of Hammarby
Latest results of Mjällby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 43:16 | 27 | 56 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | AIK | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | GAIS | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 38 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 38 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Hacken | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 34:44 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Sirius | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18:43 | -25 | 22 |
| 14 | Oster | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21:45 | -24 | 16 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
