Mjällby vs Malmö: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Mjällby - Malmö
Result
1:1
30/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 13
  • Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)
Mjällby - Malmö - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.76
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
85% (461/542)80% (288/361)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.85
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
1312
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3037
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
85% (461/542)80% (288/361)
Long passes
62% (37/60)41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
81% (117/145)72% (122/169)
Crosses
26% (5/19)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.84
Throw-ins
2228
Fouls
1314
Tackles
58% (14/24)83% (15/18)
Duels won
5753
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.850.57
Goals prevented
0.85-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ali T. , Berg O. (A),
  • 35', Stroud E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Thorell L. 🟨,
  • 71', Thorell L. , Gustafson V. ,
  • 71', Kiilerich J. , Pettersson T. ,
  • 71', Johansson H. , Stavitski T. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Stroud E. ,
  • 74', Skogmar A. , Lewicki O. ,
  • 74', Berg O. , Loukili Z. ,
  • 79', Bergstrom J. , Johansson A. ,
  • 81', Kiese I. , Ekong E. ,
  • 81', Busuladzic K. , Haksabanovic S. ,
  • 87', Johansson A. 🟨,
  • 87', Rosler C. 🟨,
  • 88', Rosler C. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Manneh A. , Tidstrand L. ,
  • 90+1', Ali T. , Zatterstrom N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mjällby
38.9%
Draw
28.4%
Malmö
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 28.2% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.8% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Mjällby - Malmö Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.72)
    3.33
    (3.38)
    2.85
    (2.58)
    5.9%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mjällby - Malmö?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). Malmö will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 35.4%71.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Malmö (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3.
    • Mjällby is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Malmö has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Malmö may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Malmö has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Mjällby: Kiilerich J. (Finger Injury) Kusu M. (Inactive) Petersson A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Christiansen A. (Inactive) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Olsson M. (Inactive) Rosengren O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mjällby: Kabuye C. (Inactive) Miettinen T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Malmö were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Malmö - Mjällby 2:0
    13.07.2024 Mjällby - Malmö 2:1
    14.08.2023 Mjällby - Malmö 1:0
    09.07.2023 Malmö - Mjällby 1:2
    Latest results of Mjällby
    19.06.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 0:1
    01.06.2025 Mjällby - Värnamo 2:0
    26.05.2025 Norrköping - Mjällby 1:1
    22.05.2025 Hammarby - Mjällby 1:2
    19.05.2025 Mjällby - Brommapojkarna 1:0
    Latest results of Malmö
    01.06.2025 Malmö - Häcken 3:0
    29.05.2025 Malmö - Häcken 0:1
    25.05.2025 IFK Göteborg - Malmö 1:0
    22.05.2025 Malmö - AIK 0:0
    18.05.2025 Malmö - Halmstad 3:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby15104129:121734
    2Hammarby16103328:121633
    3AIK1695224:141032
    4Elfsborg1592427:18929
    5Malmo FF1676323:121127
    6GAIS1567221:13825
    7Goteborg1571720:22-222
    8Hacken1563624:25-121
    9Brommapojkarna1561819:19019
    10Djurgarden1554614:17-319
    11Halmstad1551914:31-1716
    12Norrkoping1543822:28-615
    13Sirius1434720:25-513
    14Degerfors15411018:33-1513
    15Oster1533912:21-912
    16Varnamo15141012:25-137

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mjällby - Malmö?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play
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