Result
1:1
30/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Allsvenskan - Round 13
- Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.75 | 1.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
85% (461/542) | 80% (288/361) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.75 | 1.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.57 | 1.85 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 37 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
85% (461/542) | 80% (288/361) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (37/60) | 41% (21/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (117/145) | 72% (122/169) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (5/19) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.27 | 1.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (14/24) | 83% (15/18) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.85 | 0.57 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.85 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Ali T. ⚽, Berg O. (A),
- 35', Stroud E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Thorell L. 🟨,
- 71', Thorell L. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
- 71', Kiilerich J. ↓, Pettersson T. ↑,
- 71', Johansson H. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Stroud E. ⚽,
- 74', Skogmar A. ↓, Lewicki O. ↑,
- 74', Berg O. ↓, Loukili Z. ↑,
- 79', Bergstrom J. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
- 81', Kiese I. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
- 81', Busuladzic K. ↓, Haksabanovic S. ↑,
- 87', Johansson A. 🟨,
- 87', Rosler C. 🟨,
- 88', Rosler C. 🟥,
- 90+1', Manneh A. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
- 90+1', Ali T. ↓, Zatterstrom N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mjällby 38.9% | Draw 28.4% | Malmö 32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Mjällby - Malmö Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↓ (2.72) |
3.33 ↓ (3.38) |
2.85 ↑ (2.58) |
5.9% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mjällby - Malmö?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). Malmö will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 35.4% – 71.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Malmö (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3.
- Mjällby is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Malmö has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Malmö may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Malmö has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Mjällby: Kiilerich J.
(Finger Injury)
Kusu M.
(Inactive)
Petersson A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Christiansen A.
(Inactive)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Olsson M.
(Inactive)
Rosengren O.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Kabuye C.
(Inactive)
Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Malmö?
Mjällby has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Mjällby?
Malmö has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Malmö were as follows:
29.09.2024
Malmö
-
Mjällby
2:0
13.07.2024
Mjällby
-
Malmö
2:1
14.08.2023
Mjällby
-
Malmö
1:0
09.07.2023
Malmö
-
Mjällby
1:2
Latest results of Mjällby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mjallby | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 29:12 | 17 | 34 |
2 | Hammarby | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28:12 | 16 | 33 |
3 | AIK | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 32 |
4 | Elfsborg | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Malmo FF | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
6 | GAIS | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 25 |
7 | Goteborg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Hacken | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 21 |
9 | Brommapojkarna | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Djurgarden | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Halmstad | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 16 |
12 | Norrkoping | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 15 |
13 | Sirius | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Degerfors | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18:33 | -15 | 13 |
15 | Oster | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
16 | Varnamo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12:25 | -13 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Which TV channels are streaming of Mjällby - Malmö?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play |