Result
1:3
09/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 19
- Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (415/505) | 82% (361/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (415/505) | 82% (361/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (115/167) | 76% (69/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 72% (21/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.10 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Iqbal A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 0 - 1, Johansson H. ⚽, Iqbal A. (A),
- 58', 0 - 2, Stroud E. ⚽, Manneh A. (A),
- 59', Stryger J. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
- 59', Sigurdsson A. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
- 63', Johansson H. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
- 63', Stryger J. 🟨,
- 65', Rosengren O. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 65', Johnsen L. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 67', Busanello 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Busuladzic K. ⚽, Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
- 72', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
- 74', Manneh A. ↓, Charles U. ↑,
- 74', Thorell L. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
- 79', Bergstrom J. 🟨,
- 79', Pettersson T. ↓, Tchouante C. ↑,
- 80', Bergstrom J. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
- 81', Djuric A. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Gustafson V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Malmö
47.2% | Draw
27.3% | Mjällby
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Malmö - Mjällby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.87) |
3.43 ↓
(3.66) |
3.65 ↓
(3.98) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Malmö - Mjällby?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Mjällby will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 58.8% – 89.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Malmö is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Malmö: Bolin H.
(Yellow Cards)
Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Malmö: Christiansen A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M.
(Inactive)
Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Mjällby?
Malmö has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Malmö?
Mjällby has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Mjällby were as follows:
30.06.2025
Mjällby
-
Malmö
1:1
29.09.2024
Malmö
-
Mjällby
2:0
13.07.2024
Mjällby
-
Malmö
2:1
14.08.2023
Mjällby
-
Malmö
1:0
09.07.2023
Malmö
-
Mjällby
1:2
Latest results of Mjällby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 49:17 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | GAIS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 48 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Halmstad | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 22:47 | -25 | 31 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Oster | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27:49 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 33:55 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan
