Malmö vs Mjällby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Malmö - Mjällby
Result
1:3
09/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 19
  • Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.82
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
82% (415/505)82% (361/438)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.680.90
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3824
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
119
Passes
82% (415/505)82% (361/438)
Long passes
38% (21/55)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
69% (115/167)76% (69/91)
Crosses
35% (8/23)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.81
Throw-ins
2615
Fouls
911
Tackles
65% (15/23)72% (21/29)
Duels won
5260
Clearances
1333
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.901.68
Goals prevented
-2.100.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Iqbal A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Johansson H. , Iqbal A. (A),
  • 58', 0 - 2, Stroud E. , Manneh A. (A),
  • 59', Stryger J. , Skogmar A. ,
  • 59', Sigurdsson A. , Gudjohnsen D. T. ,
  • 63', Johansson H. , Stavitski T. ,
  • 63', Stryger J. 🟨,
  • 65', Rosengren O. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 65', Johnsen L. , Karlsson J. ,
  • 67', Busanello 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Busuladzic K. , Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
  • 72', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
  • 74', Manneh A. , Charles U. ,
  • 74', Thorell L. , Kjaer J. ,
  • 79', Bergstrom J. 🟨,
  • 79', Pettersson T. , Tchouante C. ,
  • 80', Bergstrom J. , Johansson A. ,
  • 81', Djuric A. , Holmquist S. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Gustafson V. ,

Chances of winning


Malmö
47.2%
Draw
27.3%
Mjällby
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 25.8% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 24.6% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Malmö - Mjällby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.87)
    3.43
    (3.66)
    3.65
    (3.98)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Malmö - Mjällby?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Mjällby will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 58.8%89.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.
    • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
    • Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Malmö is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Bolin H. (Yellow Cards) Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Malmö: Christiansen A. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M. (Inactive) Miettinen T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Mjällby were as follows:
    30.06.2025 Mjällby - Malmö 1:1
    29.09.2024 Malmö - Mjällby 2:0
    13.07.2024 Mjällby - Malmö 2:1
    14.08.2023 Mjällby - Malmö 1:0
    09.07.2023 Malmö - Mjällby 1:2
    Latest results of Malmö
    05.08.2025 Malmö - Copenhagen 0:0
    30.07.2025 Malmö - RFS 1:0
    26.07.2025 Brommapojkarna - Malmö 2:3
    22.07.2025 RFS - Malmö 1:4
    19.07.2025 Öster - Malmö 0:2
    Latest results of Mjällby
    27.07.2025 Mjällby - Sirius 2:1
    20.07.2025 Mjällby - AIK 2:0
    14.07.2025 Sirius - Mjällby 1:2
    05.07.2025 Öster - Mjällby 0:1
    30.06.2025 Mjällby - Malmö 1:1
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby20145139:162347
    2Hammarby20133437:181942
    3Malmo FF20106433:171636
    4Elfsborg20113636:27936
    5GAIS2098331:171435
    6AIK2097425:18734
    7Goteborg20111830:27334
    8Djurgarden2077623:20328
    9Brommapojkarna20721132:34-223
    10Hacken2065926:35-923
    11Norrkoping20641031:38-722
    12Sirius20551028:33-520
    13Oster20461016:25-918
    14Halmstad20531215:40-2518
    15Degerfors20431320:42-2215
    16Varnamo20261222:37-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan