Smorgon vs ML Vitebsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Smorgon - ML Vitebsk
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 20
  • Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
18
Red Cards
02
Total shots
83
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
71
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
2424
Throw-ins
2824
Fouls
2022
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Juninho , Glushkov N. (A),
  • 18', Nosko A. 🟨,
  • 26', Volkov Z. 🟨,
  • 28', Intsoen C. 🟨,
  • 38', Nosko A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Galyata D. , Abdullahi O. ,
  • 46', Glushkov N. , Baranok N. ,
  • 54', Dukso M. , Tishko A. ,
  • 64', Juninho , Nikiforenko O. ,
  • 64', Mesarovic A. , Rusak S. ,
  • 66', Karpovich S. 🟨,
  • 68', Fazylov A. , Stankevich A. ,
  • 73', Baranok N. 🟨,
  • 74', Balanovich S. , Zhuk V. ,
  • 74', Maslovskiy V. , Chebotar V. ,
  • 75', Babich E. , Bamba L. ,
  • 75', Rusak S. 🟨,
  • 86', Nikiforenko O. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rusak S. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Smorgon
12.1%
Draw
18.8%
ML Vitebsk
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 27.3% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 26.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smorgon's form might have worsened.
  • ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ML Vitebsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smorgon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ML Vitebsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Smorgon - ML Vitebsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.65
    (3.78)
    4.92
    (3.5)
    1.34
    (2.02)
    8.3%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Smorgon - ML Vitebsk?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. ML Vitebsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: ML Vitebsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Smorgon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • ML Vitebsk is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • ML Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, ML Vitebsk is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - ML Vitebsk were as follows:
    21.04.2025 ML Vitebsk - Smorgon 3:1
    Latest results of Smorgon
    23.08.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Brest 1:0
    09.08.2025 Smorgon - Slutsk 0:0
    26.07.2025 Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ Postponed
    13.07.2025 Uni X Labs Minsk - Smorgon 0:2
    Latest results of ML Vitebsk
    22.08.2025 ML Vitebsk - Naftan 2:0
    17.08.2025 ML Vitebsk - Dinamo Brest 1:1
    03.08.2025 ML Vitebsk - Slutsk 1:0
    13.07.2025 Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk 1:2
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk24164438:152352
    2Din. Minsk23153542:241848
    3Slavia Mozyr23135538:231544
    4Zhodino23118437:231441
    5Dynamo Brest24125736:231341
    6FC Minsk24125738:35341
    7Isloch23109440:221839
    8Neman21102930:21932
    9BATE24861029:39-1030
    10FC Gomel23851024:27-329
    11Vitebsk24831332:36-427
    12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk23511724:29-526
    13Naftan24741331:42-1125
    14Smorgon23551317:33-1620
    15Slutsk22341511:36-2513
    16Molodechno24312016:55-3910

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga