Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 20
- Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽, Glushkov N. (A),
- 18', Nosko A. 🟨,
- 26', Volkov Z. 🟨,
- 28', Intsoen C. 🟨,
- 38', Nosko A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Galyata D. ↓, Abdullahi O. ↑,
- 46', Glushkov N. ↓, Baranok N. ↑,
- 54', Dukso M. ↓, Tishko A. ↑,
- 64', Juninho ↓, Nikiforenko O. ↑,
- 64', Mesarovic A. ↓, Rusak S. ↑,
- 66', Karpovich S. 🟨,
- 68', Fazylov A. ↓, Stankevich A. ↑,
- 73', Baranok N. 🟨,
- 74', Balanovich S. ↓, Zhuk V. ↑,
- 74', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
- 75', Babich E. ↓, Bamba L. ↑,
- 75', Rusak S. 🟨,
- 86', Nikiforenko O. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rusak S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Smorgon
12.1% | Draw
18.8% | ML Vitebsk
69.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smorgon's form might have worsened.ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ML Vitebsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smorgon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-21.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ML Vitebsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Smorgon - ML Vitebsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.65 ↑
(3.78) |
4.92 ↑
(3.5) |
1.34 ↓
(2.02) |
8.3%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Smorgon - ML Vitebsk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. ML Vitebsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
ML Vitebsk will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Smorgon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- ML Vitebsk is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- ML Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
- In this match, ML Vitebsk is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against ML Vitebsk?
Smorgon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ML Vitebsk won against Smorgon?
ML Vitebsk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - ML Vitebsk were as follows:
21.04.2025
ML Vitebsk
-
Smorgon
3:1
Latest results of Smorgon
Latest results of ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 35:8 | 27 | 52 |
| 2 | Slavia Mozyr | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 41 |
| 3 | Isloch | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38:19 | 19 | 38 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32:19 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Din. Minsk | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 36 |
| 6 | Dynamo Brest | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 32 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:33 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Neman | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25:13 | 12 | 28 |
| 9 | BATE | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Gomel | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 13 | Naftan | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14:31 | -17 | 14 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11:32 | -21 | 13 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
