Result
3:0
28/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 24
- Referee: Orel P. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/395) | 85% (370/435) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/395) | 85% (370/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/45) | 57% (32/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (77/115) | 75% (101/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 20% (6/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, Sevcik M. ⚽, John S. (A),
- 52', 2 - 0, Kostka D. ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 0, Sobol E. (Own goal),
- 56', Sedlacek R. ↓, Zorvan F. ↑,
- 56', Holly D. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
- 56', Sobol E. ↓, Polidar M. ↑,
- 64', Kabongo C. ↓, Buryan J. ↑,
- 64', John S. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
- 72', Chanturishvili V. ↓, Singhateh E. ↑,
- 76', Karafiat O. ↓, Pech Da. ↑,
- 80', Jawo L. ↓, Chramosta J. ↑,
- 86', Sevcik M. ↓, Lehky F. ↑,
- 86', Kozel D. ↓, Donat D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mladá Boleslav
30.5% | Draw
27.2% | Jablonec
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Mladá Boleslav - Jablonec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.97) |
3.44 ↑
(3.38) |
2.21
(2.21) |
7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Jablonec?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Jablonec will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Jablonec (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Jablonec (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Jablonec (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Jablonec (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Jablonec (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Mladá Boleslav (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jablonec will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Jablonec (votes: 11 - 91.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 0.
- Mladá Boleslav has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jablonec is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Jablonec has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Harustak J.
(Injury)
Klima J.
(Injury)
Krulich M.
(Injury)
Macek R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Jablonec: Hanus J.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Mladá Boleslav: Donat D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jablonec: Cedidla M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Jablonec?
Mladá Boleslav has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Mladá Boleslav?
Jablonec has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladá Boleslav - Jablonec were as follows:
28.09.2025
Jablonec
-
Mladá Boleslav
2:0
21.06.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Jablonec
2:2
19.04.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Jablonec
0:1
20.07.2024
Jablonec
-
Mladá Boleslav
2:0
28.04.2024
Jablonec
-
Mladá Boleslav
1:1
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Latest results of Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 58:20 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 54 |
| 3 | Plzen | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Liberec | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 39 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Karvina | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Zlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Pardubice | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Teplice | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
