Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 10
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (270/324) | 85% (415/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (270/324) | 85% (415/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 54% (21/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (71/92) | 67% (85/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Kralik M. ↓, Donat D. ↑,
- 21', Langhamer D. 🟨,
- 30', Nebyla S. 🟨,
- 36', Zika J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Chramosta J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Pech Da. 🟨,
- 51', Zorvan F. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Chramosta J. (Pen),
- 61', Langhamer D. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
- 61', Pech Da. ↓, Macek R. ↑,
- 61', John S. ↓, Penner N. ↑,
- 71', Novak F. ↓, Innocenti N. ↑,
- 71', Chramosta J. ↓, Alegue A. ↑,
- 71', Puskac D. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
- 77', Alegue A. 🟨,
- 79', Prebsl F. 🟨,
- 79', Zorvan F. ↓, Suchan J. ↑,
- 84', Kostka D. ↓, Krulich M. ↑,
- 90+3', Nebyla S. ↓, Malensek M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jablonec
53.3% | Draw
23.3% | Mladá Boleslav
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jablonec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Jablonec - Mladá Boleslav Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.64) |
4.01 ↓
(4.33) |
4.03 ↓
(4.53) |
6.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jablonec - Mladá Boleslav?
Users Predictions:
Jablonec will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jablonec will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 2.
- Jablonec has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Mladá Boleslav is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mladá Boleslav may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jablonec has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Jablonec is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Haliti J.
(Health problems)
Mares D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mladá Boleslav: Vojta M.
(Health problems)
- We predict that Jablonec will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Mladá Boleslav?
Jablonec has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Jablonec?
Mladá Boleslav has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jablonec - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:
21.06.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Jablonec
2:2
19.04.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Jablonec
0:1
20.07.2024
Jablonec
-
Mladá Boleslav
2:0
28.04.2024
Jablonec
-
Mladá Boleslav
1:1
23.07.2023
Mladá Boleslav
-
Jablonec
3:1
Latest results of Jablonec
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Zlin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Liberec | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Karvina | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Ostrava | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Teplice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
