Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Ivkovic M. (Srb)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 0.71 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
78% (286/368) | 85% (374/442) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 0.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.36 | 0.45 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
78% (286/368) | 85% (374/442) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (22/54) | 55% (45/82) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (60/103) | 66% (79/120) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (7/24) | 30% (6/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.86 | 1.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (16/20) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.45 | 1.36 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.55 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Bayere Junior L. ⚽, Saliman K. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Ljubomirac U. ⚽, Tumbasevic J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Doucoure B. 🟨,
- 58', Saliman K. ↓, Zuvic M. ↑,
- 58', Djokovic P. ↓, Radonjic A. ↑,
- 67', Micic L. ↓, Tanko I. ↑,
- 73', Milojevic N. ↓, Hadzic I. ↑,
- 73', Sremcevic U. ↓, Marinkovic D. ↑,
- 77', Marinkovic D. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Ljubomirac U. ⚽, Varjacic A. (A),
- 85', Doucoure B. ↓, Milosevic S. ↑,
- 85', Vilotic S. ↓, Acquah B. ↑,
- 86', Ljubomirac U. 🟨,
- 87', Milosevic S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ljubomirac U. ↓, Bojic P. ↑,
- 90+3', Ciric J. ↓, Milosevic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mladost Lučani 36.8% | Draw 32.8% | Javor Ivanjica 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mladost Lučani's form might have worsened.Javor Ivanjica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladost Lučani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Javor Ivanjica than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Javor Ivanjica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mladost Lučani - Javor Ivanjica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↑ (2.1) |
2.97 ↓ (3.35) |
3.2 ↓ (3.6) |
2.8% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mladost Lučani - Javor Ivanjica?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mladost Lučani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Javor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 2.
- Mladost Lučani is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Javor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Javor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladost Lučani won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Javor Ivanjica?
Mladost Lučani has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Javor Ivanjica won against Mladost Lučani?
Javor Ivanjica has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladost Lučani - Javor Ivanjica were as follows:
08.04.2024
Javor Ivanjica
-
Mladost Lučani
1:0
06.11.2023
Mladost Lučani
-
Javor Ivanjica
1:0
28.06.2023
Javor Ivanjica
-
Mladost Lučani
2:0
22.05.2023
Javor Ivanjica
-
Mladost Lučani
0:1
06.03.2023
Javor Ivanjica
-
Mladost Lučani
1:1
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Latest results of Javor Ivanjica
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 32:6 | 26 | 24 |
2 | Partizan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:10 | 17 | 22 |
3 | Vojvodina | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Novi Pazar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
6 | OFK Beograd | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
7 | Cukaricki | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 |
8 | TSC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
9 | Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
10 | Radnicki Nis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Mladost | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
12 | Javor | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Radnik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
14 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Sp. Subotica | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 9 |
16 | Napredak | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )