Napredak Kruševac vs Mladost Lučani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Mladost Kruševac (Kruševac).

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 15
Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
Where to Watch on TV:


North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 3

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	0.86
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
15	3
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	0
Passes
80% (408/510)	79% (352/448)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.28	0.59
Total shots
15	3
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	0
Touches in opposition box
28	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
16	9
Passes
80% (408/510)	79% (352/448)
Long passes
48% (28/58)	42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
66% (105/160)	47% (33/70)
Crosses
19% (6/31)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.51
Throw-ins
33	16
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
79% (11/14)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
58	46
Clearances
8	38
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.59	0.28
Goals prevented
-0.41	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Zunic F. (Pen),
23', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Majdevac A. ↑,
41', Bukorac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bastajic N. ↓, Lutovac A. ↑,
62', Zunic F. 🟨,
72', Bukorac S. ↓, Zlicic L. ↑,
74', Ciric J. ↓, Sremcevic U. ↑,
75', Joksimovic M. ↓, Milojevic N. ↑,
75', Ljubomirac U. ↓, Udovicic Z. ↑,
76', Sremcevic U. 🟨,
82', Miletic V. ↓, Hajdin S. ↑,
87', Milojevic N. 🟨,
90+1', Boranijasevic N. ↓, Andric N. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Napredak Kruševac
39.8%

Draw
28.7%

Mladost Lučani
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.

Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mladost Lučani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mladost Lučani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.98)	3.24 ↓ (3.32)	2.95 ↓ (3.49)	7.6% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0.
Napredak is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mladost Lučani has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Napredak might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Mladost Lučani?

Napredak Kruševac has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Napredak Kruševac?

Mladost Lučani has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani were as follows:

23.02.2025 Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac 1:0

21.09.2024 Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani 1:2

22.04.2024 Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac 3:1

16.12.2023 Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac 1:1

20.08.2023 Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani 0:1

Latest results of Napredak Kruševac

02.11.2025 Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac 1:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Trayal Kruševac - Napredak Kruševac 3:0 ✺

24.10.2025 Napredak Kruševac - Vojvodina 1:4 ✺

18.10.2025 OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac 4:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Mladost Lučani

30.10.2025 Dubočica - Mladost Lučani 2:1 ✺

24.10.2025 Partizan - Mladost Lučani 3:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Mladost Lučani - Železničar Pančevo 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani 1:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Mladost Lučani - Čukarički 1:1 ✺

Serbian Superliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Crvena zvezda ✔	25	19	3	3	74:19	55	60
2	Partizan ✔	25	17	2	6	56:32	24	53
3	Vojvodina ✔	25	15	4	6	44:26	18	49
4	Novi Pazar	25	12	6	7	33:31	2	42
5	Zeleznicar Pancevo	25	12	5	8	31:26	5	41
6	Cukaricki	25	9	7	9	38:39	-1	34
7	Radnik	25	9	6	10	30:29	1	33
8	OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet	25	9	6	10	32:33	-1	33
9	Radnicki Nis	25	9	5	11	31:31	0	32
10	Radnicki 1923	25	8	8	9	31:35	-4	32
11	TSC	25	7	8	10	22:29	-7	29
12	IMT Novi Beograd	25	8	5	12	27:43	-16	29
13	Mladost	25	6	9	10	19:37	-18	27
14	Javor	25	6	8	11	24:35	-11	26
15	Sp. Subotica ✔	25	3	9	13	28:46	-18	18
16	Napredak ✔	25	2	7	16	22:51	-29	13

Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )