Result
0:1
08/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 15
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (408/510) | 79% (352/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (408/510) | 79% (352/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (105/160) | 47% (33/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Zunic F. (Pen),
- 23', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Majdevac A. ↑,
- 41', Bukorac S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bastajic N. ↓, Lutovac A. ↑,
- 62', Zunic F. 🟨,
- 72', Bukorac S. ↓, Zlicic L. ↑,
- 74', Ciric J. ↓, Sremcevic U. ↑,
- 75', Joksimovic M. ↓, Milojevic N. ↑,
- 75', Ljubomirac U. ↓, Udovicic Z. ↑,
- 76', Sremcevic U. 🟨,
- 82', Miletic V. ↓, Hajdin S. ↑,
- 87', Milojevic N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Boranijasevic N. ↓, Andric N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napredak Kruševac
39.8% | Draw
28.7% | Mladost Lučani
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mladost Lučani's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mladost Lučani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(1.98) |
3.24 ↓
(3.32) |
2.95 ↓
(3.49) |
7.6%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0.
- Napredak is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mladost Lučani has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Napredak might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Mladost Lučani?
Napredak Kruševac has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Napredak Kruševac?
Mladost Lučani has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani were as follows:
23.02.2025
Mladost Lučani
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:0
21.09.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Mladost Lučani
1:2
22.04.2024
Mladost Lučani
-
Napredak Kruševac
3:1
16.12.2023
Mladost Lučani
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:1
20.08.2023
Napredak Kruševac
-
Mladost Lučani
0:1
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 52:27 | 25 | 58 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | TSC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Javor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:45 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25:61 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
