Result
0:0
08/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Stojanovic A. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (345/444) | 69% (229/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (345/444) | 69% (229/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (17/61) | 35% (27/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (86/146) | 56% (58/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Abubakar S. 🟨,
- 43', Pejovic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jovanovic D. ↓, Duronjic B. ↑,
- 51', Cirkovic N. 🟨,
- 61', Novakovic M. ↓, Markocevic D. ↑,
- 61', Abubakar S. ↓, Filipovic U. ↑,
- 80', Pejovic A. ↓, Raskovic S. ↑,
- 80', Todosijevic M. ↓, Sremcevic U. ↑,
- 84', Orescanin M. 🟨,
- 89', Bojic P. ↓, Hadzic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Radnik Surdulica
50.9% | Draw
28.7% | Mladost Lučani
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mladost Lučani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mladost Lučani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Radnik Surdulica - Mladost Lučani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.15) |
3.25 ↓
(3.3) |
4.64 ↑
(3.5) |
7.6%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica - Mladost Lučani?
Users Predictions:
Radnik Surdulica will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Radnik Surdulica will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 1.
- Radnik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mladost Lučani's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mladost Lučani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Radnik is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Mladost Lučani?
Radnik Surdulica has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Radnik Surdulica?
Mladost Lučani has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnik Surdulica - Mladost Lučani were as follows:
02.08.2025
Mladost Lučani
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
25.11.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Mladost Lučani
1:1
31.07.2023
Mladost Lučani
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:0
09.05.2023
Mladost Lučani
-
Radnik Surdulica
2:0
10.02.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Mladost Lučani
1:0
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 52:27 | 25 | 58 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | TSC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Javor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:45 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25:61 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
