Chiefs vs Moana Pasifika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chiefs
91.9%
Draw
2.1%
Moana Pasifika
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
88.2% 3.2% 8.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Moana Pasifika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Chiefs - Moana Pasifika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.02
    (1.05)
    43.83
    (28.81)
    15.1
    (10.76)
    7.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 67.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-28)
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 5.
    • In this match, Chiefs is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 402:114. (average 57.4:16.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chiefs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 257:43. (average 64.3:10.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chiefs - Moana Pasifika were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Chiefs - Moana Pasifika 85:7
    21.03.2025 Moana Pasifika - Chiefs 35:50
    10.05.2024 Moana Pasifika - Chiefs 7:43
    06.04.2024 Chiefs - Moana Pasifika 68:12
    04.03.2023 Moana Pasifika - Chiefs 29:52
    Latest results of Chiefs
    28.02.2026 Chiefs - Crusaders 33:43
    21.02.2026 Highlanders - Chiefs 23:26
    14.02.2026 Blues - Chiefs 15:19
    21.06.2025 Crusaders - Chiefs 16:12
    14.06.2025 Chiefs - Brumbies 37:17
    Latest results of Moana Pasifika
    20.02.2026 Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika 52:10
    13.02.2026 Fijian Drua - Moana Pasifika 26:40
    31.05.2025 Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika 64:12
    24.05.2025 Chiefs - Moana Pasifika 85:7
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12