Moana Pasifika vs Fijian Drua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua
Result
34:15
26/04/2025 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
62
Conversion Goals
21
Conversion Goal Attempts
62
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
02
Goals %
3350
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
95118
Metres Run With Ball
508363

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (17 - 0)
  • 17', Murray M. , Canakaivata E. ,
  • 25', Toala D. (Try),
  • 26', Garden-Bachop J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 30', Faiilagi M. (Try),
  • 31', Garden-Bachop J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 34', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Penalty),
  • 37', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. (Try),
  • 37', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (17 - 15)
  • 41', Dolokoto M. , Ikanivere T. ,
  • 41', Tawake S. , Doge M. ,
  • 45', Faiilagi M. (Try),
  • 46', Garden-Bachop J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 48', Ikanivere T. (Try),
  • 49', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 50', Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F. , Apoua C. ,
  • 51', Ravai P. , Tuni M. ,
  • 51', Rotuisolia R. L. , Vocevoce M. ,
  • 53', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
  • 53', Slade S. , Craig A. ,
  • 53', Tuipulotu T. , Moli L. ,
  • 54', Inisi F. , Savea J. ,
  • 56', Savea J. (Try),
  • 56', Garden-Bachop J. , Pellegrini P. ,
  • 57', Havili W. (Missed Conversion),
  • 57', Rakuro T. (Try),
  • 58', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Conversion),
  • 58', Kuruvoli S. , Nawai L. ,
  • 58', Karawalevu V. , Ravutaumada S. ,
  • 62', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. , Havili Talitui S. ,
  • 62', Taumateine J. , Matavao M. ,
  • 66', Sanerivi M. , Maka T. ,
  • 79', Ofa T. (Try),
  • 80', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Moana Pasifika
64%
Draw
3.9%
Fijian Drua
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 3.2% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 3.5% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moana Pasifika's performance.
  • Fijian Drua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fijian Drua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moana Pasifika than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moana Pasifika that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fijian Drua than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fijian Drua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.62)
    23.99
    (29.5)
    2.88
    (2.39)
    8.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 60.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Moana Pasifika will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 34:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Recent matches Moana Pasifika is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fijian Drua is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Moana Pasifika is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Moana Pasifika to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Moana Pasifika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 155:177 (average 31:35.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Moana Pasifika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 73:72 (average 36.5:36).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua were as follows:
    26.04.2024 Fijian Drua - Moana Pasifika 24:17
    02.03.2024 Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua 39:36
    26.05.2023 Fijian Drua - Moana Pasifika 47:46
    24.02.2023 Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua 34:36
    Latest results of Moana Pasifika
    19.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Brumbies 0:24
    12.04.2025 Blues - Moana Pasifika 36:17
    04.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Waratahs 45:28
    29.03.2025 Crusaders - Moana Pasifika 29:45
    21.03.2025 Moana Pasifika - Chiefs 35:50
    Latest results of Fijian Drua
    18.04.2025 Fijian Drua - Waratahs 28:14
    12.04.2025 Highlanders - Fijian Drua 43:20
    04.04.2025 Fijian Drua - Crusaders 14:31
    23.03.2025 Western Force - Fijian Drua 52:15
    14.03.2025 Brumbies - Fijian Drua 38:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12