Highlanders vs Moana Pasifika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Highlanders - Moana Pasifika
Result
29:34
03/05/2025 at 23:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
45
Conversion Goals
33
Conversion Goal Attempts
45
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
21
Goals %
6767
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
93142
Metres Run With Ball
360541
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 17)
  • 6', Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J. (Try),
  • 7', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 9', Toala D. (Try),
  • 9', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Lowe J. (Try),
  • 16', Millar C. (Missed Conversion),
  • 19', Lalomilo L. (Try),
  • 20', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 29', Howden T. , Dunshea M. ,
  • 34', Tuipulotu T. , Moli L. ,
  • 40+2', Havili W. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (17 - 17)
  • 41', Garden-Bachop J. , Pellegrini P. ,
  • 41', Dunshea M. , Howden T. ,
  • 41', Vikena S. , Taylor J. ,
  • 41', Gilbert S. , Te Hiwi J. ,
  • 42', Havili W. 🟨,
  • 44', Millar C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 45', Savea A. (Try),
  • 46', Pellegrini P. (Missed Conversion),
  • 46', Renton H. , Lasaqa V. ,
  • 46', Haig O. , Dunshea M. ,
  • 49', Lalomilo L. , Savea J. ,
  • 51', Hastie N. , Fakatava F. ,
  • 53', Lowe J. (Try),
  • 54', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 56', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. , Paea S. ,
  • 64', Savage T. , Tauatevalu O. ,
  • 66', Faiilagi M. (Try),
  • 68', de Groot E. , Bartlett J. ,
  • 69', Millar C. , Robinson T. ,
  • 72', Taumateine J. , Matavao M. ,
  • 73', Taylor J. (Try),
  • 74', Robinson T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Sanerivi M. , Maka T. ,
  • 75', Matavao M. (Try),
  • 76', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Apoua C. , Faamausili P. ,
  • 76', Paea S. , Tupou Ta'eiloa S. ,

Chances of winning


Highlanders
58.5%
Draw
4%
Moana Pasifika
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 4% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 4.7% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Highlanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Moana Pasifika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Highlanders than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Highlanders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moana Pasifika than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moana Pasifika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Highlanders - Moana Pasifika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.59)
    23.64
    (23.15)
    2.46
    (2.46)
    8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Highlanders - Moana Pasifika?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Highlanders will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:29.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 9).
    • Highlanders has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Moana Pasifika's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Highlanders might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 176:101. (average 35.2:20.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Highlanders won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 72:38. (average 36:19).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Highlanders - Moana Pasifika were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Moana Pasifika - Highlanders 29:31
    03.05.2024 Moana Pasifika - Highlanders 17:28
    24.02.2024 Highlanders - Moana Pasifika 35:21
    31.03.2023 Moana Pasifika - Highlanders 17:45
    Latest results of Highlanders
    26.04.2025 Highlanders - Crusaders 10:43
    19.04.2025 Chiefs - Highlanders 46:10
    12.04.2025 Highlanders - Fijian Drua 43:20
    05.04.2025 Western Force - Highlanders 29:20
    28.03.2025 Brumbies - Highlanders 34:27
    Latest results of Moana Pasifika
    26.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua 34:15
    19.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Brumbies 0:24
    12.04.2025 Blues - Moana Pasifika 36:17
    04.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Waratahs 45:28
    29.03.2025 Crusaders - Moana Pasifika 29:45
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12