Moez Echargui vs Maxim Mrva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Trieste Challenger Men Moez Echargui - Maxim Mrva
Result
1:2
06/07/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
53%49%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (41/66)66% (31/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (31/59)53% (26/49)
Break Points Saved
67% (10/15)40% (4/10)
1st Return Points Won
34% (16/47)39% (26/66)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (23/49)47% (28/59)
Break Points Converted
60% (6/10)33% (5/15)
Winners
1634
Unforced Errors
5268
Net Points Won
75% (6/8)75% (15/20)
Service Points Won
58% (72/124)59% (57/96)
Return Points Won
41% (39/96)42% (52/124)
Total Points Won
50% (111/220)50% (109/220)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
23
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)60% (9/15)
Return Games Won
40% (6/15)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Moez Echargui
49.9%
Maxim Mrva
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 66.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moez Echargui's performance.
  • Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxim Mrva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moez Echargui that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxim Mrva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Moez Echargui - Maxim Mrva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.6)

    1.85
    (1.44)
    8%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Echargui is ranked ATP: 333. Mrva is ranked ATP: 501.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mrva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mrva will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Moez Echargui
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Nagal S. (Q)1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M. (WC)Mena F. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Ficovich J. P.Cina F. (WC)1 : 2
    4Mrva M. (Q)Basilashvili N. (6)2 : 1
    5Svrcina D. (3)Dodig M. (Q)0 : 2
    6Rodionov J.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (WC)1 : 1
    7Gomez F. A.Neumayer L.0 : 2
    8Collarini A. (Q)Gigante M. (7)2 : 0
    9Gaubas V. (8)Klein L.1 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Jacquet K.2 : 0
    11Sachko V.Kym J.2 : 1
    12Travaglia S. (SE)Boyer T. (4)2 : 0
    13Tirante T. A. (5)Rocha H.2 : 0
    14Blanchet U.Picchione A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Rodriguez Taverna S.Michalski D. (Q)2 : 0
    16Gea A. (NG)Barrios Vera T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nagal S.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Cina F.Mrva M.0 : 2
    3Dodig M.Rodionov J.2 : 0
    4Neumayer L.Collarini A.2 : 1
    5Klein L.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    6Sachko V.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    7Tirante T. A. (5)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    8Rodriguez Taverna S.Barrios Vera T. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Nagal S.Mrva M.2 : 1
    2Dodig M.Neumayer L.2 : 0
    3Diaz Acosta F.Travaglia S.2 : 0
    4Tirante T. A. (5)Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nagal S.Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Diaz Acosta F.Tirante T. A. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Dodig M.Tirante T. A. (5)2 : 0