Shahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 18

Match Stats

Yellow cards
10
Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Veysov E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 82', Asurov Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Faracov S. (Penalty Awarded),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shahdag Qusar
51.8%
Draw
25.3%
MOIK Baku
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 25.6% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 24.5% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shahdag Qusar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shahdag Qusar's performance.
  • MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MOIK Baku might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shahdag Qusar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOIK Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.24)
    3.57
    (3.53)
    3.94
    (2.65)
    10.6%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shahdag (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 7).
    • Shahdag is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • MOIK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shahdag could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shahdag won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku were as follows:
    11.09.2025 MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar 1:2
    Latest results of Shahdag Qusar
    05.03.2026 Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar 2:1
    25.02.2026 Shahdag Qusar - Zagatala 1:0
    19.02.2026 Shimal - Shahdag Qusar 0:1
    12.02.2026 Shahdag Qusar - Cəbrayıl 4:2
    Latest results of MOIK Baku
    06.03.2026 MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu 2:1
    25.02.2026 Mingachevir - MOIK Baku 2:0
    18.02.2026 MOIK Baku - Səbail 1:0
    12.02.2026 Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku 2:0
    05.02.2026 Cəbrayıl - MOIK Baku 2:2
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku19136043:133045
    2Baku Sporting19107229:161337
    3Sabail1997326:151134
    4Mingachevir1996430:171333
    5Sahdag Qusar1974827:26125
    6MOIK Baku1965822:27-523
    7Zaqatala1964920:24-422
    8Cebrayil19521230:38-817
    9Difai Agsu19341225:45-2013
    10Shimal19331318:49-3112

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          I Liqa (Relegation)
          Relegation