Result
2:1
15/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Soltanov B. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Ismayilov R. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 1, Faracov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
MOIK Baku
62.2% | Draw
21.6% | Zagatala
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MOIK Baku's performance.Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagatala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-17.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MOIK Baku that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagatala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
MOIK Baku - Zagatala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(2.08) |
4.21 ↑
(3.35) |
5.6 ↑
(3) |
10%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for MOIK Baku - Zagatala?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - MOIK (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - MOIK (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
MOIK Baku will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): MOIK Baku will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. MOIK (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 2.
- In recent matches, MOIK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zagatala is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MOIK could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, MOIK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has MOIK Baku won against Zagatala?
MOIK Baku has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagatala won against MOIK Baku?
Zagatala has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MOIK Baku - Zagatala were as follows:
17.12.2025
Zagatala
-
MOIK Baku
1:3
25.09.2025
MOIK Baku
-
Zagatala
0:1
02.05.2025
Zagatala
-
MOIK Baku
1:0
28.02.2025
MOIK Baku
-
Zagatala
0:0
27.11.2024
MOIK Baku
-
Zagatala
3:1
Latest results of MOIK Baku
Latest results of Zagatala
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League
