Legia Warsaw vs Molde – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Jug M. (Slo)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 12
Greece	ANT 1+
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, VIX App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	1.77
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Goal Attempts
18	18
Shots on Goal
6	4
Shots off Goal
7	4
Blocked Shots
5	10
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	8
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
7	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
Free Kicks
11	18
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
18	11
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
19	32
Touches in the Opposition Box
33	40
Passes
76% (334/440)	87% (702/811)
Passes in the final third
69% (92/134)	76% (210/276)
Crosses
38% (9/24)	31% (8/26)
Tackles
58% (15/26)	35% (6/17)
Clearances Total
48	30
Interceptions
16	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Morishita R. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Linnes M. ↓, Haugen K. ↑,
62', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
71', Daehli M. ↓, Hestad E. ↑,
84', Elitim J. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
89', Chodyna K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
90+3', Augustyniak R. ↓, Oyedele M. ↑,
90+6', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Enggaard M. ↓, Daga D. ↑,
103', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
103', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
106', Amundsen I. ↓, Bjornbak M. ↑,
108', 2 - 0, Gual M. ⚽, Oyedele M. (A),
114', Lund V. 🟨,
114', Lund V. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
116', Eriksen K. 🟨,
118', Eriksen K. 🟨,
120', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
120', Eikrem M. 🟨,
120', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
120+1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
56.1%

Draw
23.3%

Molde
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Legia Warsaw - Molde Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.92)	4.07 ↑ (3.89)	4.6 ↑ (3.89)	5.7% (3.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Molde?

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (45 of 54 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.39% – 93.27%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Molde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Molde have a series of home games.
In this match Legia is a favorite.
There will not play in Legia: Kobylak G. (Inactive) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Luquinhas (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Molde: Bakke J. (Injury) Berisha V. (Leg Injury) Odegard N. (Knee Injury) Oyvann C. (Knee Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Molde?

Legia Warsaw has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Molde won against Legia Warsaw?

Molde has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Molde were as follows:

06.03.2025 Molde - Legia Warsaw 3:2

22.02.2024 Legia Warsaw - Molde 0:3

15.02.2024 Molde - Legia Warsaw 3:2

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

10.03.2025 Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw 3:3 ✺

06.03.2025 Molde - Legia Warsaw 3:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław 3:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Molde

06.03.2025 Molde - Legia Warsaw 3:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Molde - Ranheim 1:1 ✺

20.02.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Molde 0:2 ✺

13.02.2025 Molde - Shamrock Rovers 0:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Molde - St Patricks Athletic 1:2 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
2	AEK Larnaca	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
3	Celje	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
4	Lausanne	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
5	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Mainz	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
7	Rayo Vallecano	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
8	Rakow	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
9	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Jagiellonia	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
11	Noah	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	AEK Athens FC	2	1	0	1	7:3	4	3
13	Zrinjski	2	1	0	1	5:1	4	3
14	Sparta Prague	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
15	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
16	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
18	Legia	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
19	Shkendija	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
21	Lincoln Red Imps	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3
22	Drita	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
23	Hacken	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
24	KuPS	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
25	Omonia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
26	Shelbourne	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
27	Sigma Olomouc	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
28	Univ. Craiova	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Breidablik	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
30	Rijeka	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
31	Slovan Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
32	Hamrun	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
33	Shamrock Rovers	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
34	Dyn. Kyiv	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
35	SK Rapid	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0
36	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	2:9	-7	0

Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)