Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 30
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.932.45
Ball Possession
22%78%
Total shots
825
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
71% (152/213)91% (702/774)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.932.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.79
Total shots
825
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
211
Shots inside the Box
516
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
1256
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
115
Passes
71% (152/213)91% (702/774)
Long passes
57% (33/58)57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
63% (49/78)85% (288/340)
Crosses
20% (2/10)20% (6/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.972.30
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
511
Tackles
50% (6/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3726
Clearances
399
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
0.790.72
Goals prevented
0.79-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Carstensen F. , Sorli S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Risa B. , Amundsen I. ,
  • 62', Reinhardsen P. , Wichne E. ,
  • 62', Carstensen F. , Job D. ,
  • 66', Hestad E. , Zady C. ,
  • 66', Linnes M. , Stenevik H. ,
  • 74', Karlsbakk D. , Opoku M. ,
  • 74', Wichne E. , Odegaard M. ,
  • 78', Granaas S. , Christensen J. ,
  • 78', Gulbrandsen F. , Eriksen K. ,
  • 78', Berget J. , Trondsen A. ,
  • 90+5', Breivik E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sarpsborg 08
36.8%
Draw
23.5%
Molde
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 24.4% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 23.9% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Sarpsborg 08 - Molde Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.68)
    4.04
    (3.87)
    2.39
    (2.35)
    5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Molde?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Molde will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Molde may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Molde: Abdullai J. (Injury) Kasanwirjo N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Sanyang A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Molde: Eriksen K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:48. (average 1.5:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Molde were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Molde - Sarpsborg 08 0:2
    10.11.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Molde 2:2
    20.05.2024 Molde - Sarpsborg 08 2:4
    08.05.2024 Molde - Sarpsborg 08 4:2
    26.11.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Molde 1:3
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    Latest results of Molde
    22.11.2025 Molde - Brann 4:0
    09.11.2025 Haugesund - Molde 0:2
    01.11.2025 Molde - Rosenborg 4:2
    26.10.2025 Bodø Glimt - Molde 4:1
    19.10.2025 Molde - Sandefjord 1:3
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aalesund00000:000
    2Brann00000:000
    3Molde00000:000
    4Fredrikstad00000:000
    5HamKam00000:000
    6Tromso00000:000
    7Rosenborg00000:000
    8Viking00000:000
    9Valerenga00000:000
    10Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    11Lillestrom00000:000
    12Sandefjord00000:000
    13Sarpsborg 0800000:000
    14Start00000:000
    15KFUM Oslo00000:000
    16Kristiansund00000:000

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