Estonia vs Moldova, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Estonia - Moldova
Result
1:1
14/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
estoniaEstoniaETV 2
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaMoldova 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportklub
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.65
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
83% (439/530)74% (251/339)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.52
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
118
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
83% (439/530)74% (251/339)
Long passes
61% (39/64)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
66% (84/127)59% (49/83)
Crosses
10% (2/21)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.39
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1511
Tackles
55% (6/11)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3659
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.521.40
Goals prevented
-0.480.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kait M. ,
  • 29', Reabciuk O. 🟨,
  • 34', Bogaciuc V. 🟨,
  • 45', Mets K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Caimacov M. , Bodisteanu S. ,
  • 46', Bogaciuc V. , Lupan M. ,
  • 59', Kristal P. , Shein R. R. ,
  • 59', Saarma R. , Mustmaa K. ,
  • 62', Craciun A. , Stefan M. ,
  • 62', Rata V. , Bors I. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Bodisteanu S. , Postolachi V. (A),
  • 81', Forov D. , Platica S. ,
  • 82', Sappinen R. , Tamm A. ,
  • 86', Kait M. , Paalberg M. ,
  • 88', Tamm A. 🟨,
  • 88', Baboglo V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estonia
46.5%
Draw
29.3%
Moldova
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 26.2% 19.9%

Estonia - Moldova Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.05
(1.75)
3.3
(3.6)
4.02
(4.75)
3.9%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estonia - Moldova?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Moldova will win (votes: 1 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estonia: 45.7%79.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estonia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Estonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Estonia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estonia - Moldova were as follows:
    25.03.2025 Moldova - Estonia 2:3
    Latest results of Estonia
    11.10.2025 Estonia - Italy 1:3
    09.09.2025 Estonia - Andorra 0:0
    05.09.2025 Italy - Estonia 5:0
    09.06.2025 Estonia - Norway 0:1
    06.06.2025 Estonia - Israel 1:3
    Latest results of Moldova
    09.10.2025 Romania - Moldova 2:1
    09.09.2025 Norway - Moldova 11:1
    05.09.2025 Moldova - Israel 0:4
    09.06.2025 Italy - Moldova 2:0
    06.06.2025 Poland - Moldova 2:0
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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