Molodechno vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 26
  • Referee: Lyasuk I. (Blr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
39
Corner Kicks
97
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
615
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
97
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
188
Throw-ins
2936
Fouls
714

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Lovets Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', Shelest N. 🟨,
  • 72', Gaevoy M. , Lutik D. ,
  • 73', Vlasov A. , Kutkovich G. ,
  • 76', Shelest N. , Assumu J. ,
  • 81', Sotnikov N. , Kaplenko N. ,
  • 81', Senko V. , Ishutin A. ,
  • 84', Vegerya R. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Lovets Y. , Harutyunyan V. (A),
  • 90+2', Lovets Y. , Skshinetskiy A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Molodechno
20.8%
Draw
26.6%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.9% 25.9% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2% 18.4% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molodechno's performance.
  • Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Molodechno - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.46
    (7.29)
    3.49
    (3.62)
    1.77
    (1.53)
    7.7%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 12).
    • Molodechno is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molodechno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:18. (average 0.2:3.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Molodechno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.5:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Molodechno - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno 1:0
    01.06.2025 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno 3:0
    25.11.2023 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno 6:0
    04.08.2023 Molodechno - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1:3
    Latest results of Molodechno
    19.10.2025 Slutsk - Molodechno 2:2
    04.10.2025 Molodechno - Dinamo Minsk 1:3
    28.09.2025 Gomel - Molodechno 2:1
    19.09.2025 Naftan - Molodechno 5:0
    14.09.2025 Molodechno - Isloch Minsk 0:1
    Latest results of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1SmorgonBelshina0 : 2, 1 : 0