BATE Borisov vs Molodechno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 18
  • Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
122
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
149
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
87
Corner Kicks
122
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2015
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
1217
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Neskoromnyi N. , Ageev A. (A),
  • 36', Koval I. 🟨,
  • 41', Lysenko N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lysenko N. , Imeryakov E. ,
  • 46', Kutkovich G. , Assumu J. ,
  • 46', Shelest N. , Vlasov A. ,
  • 57', Kargbo I. , Charles Y. ,
  • 57', Yatskevich V. , Apanasevich K. ,
  • 59', Sagitov A. , Butko A. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Charles Y. , Apanasevich K. (A),
  • 70', Rusakov E. , Grivenev E. ,
  • 71', Svirepa A. , Sakhonchik A. ,
  • 75', Djukic A. , Radzhabov A. ,
  • 80', Neskoromnyi N. , Piletskiy R. ,
  • 83', Ageev A. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Assumu J. ,
  • 89', Davyskiba R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


BATE Borisov
63.9%
Draw
21%
Molodechno
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 20.3% 11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 19% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • BATE Borisov - Molodechno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.4)
    4.43
    (4.7)
    6.14
    (8.2)
    7.6%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for BATE Borisov - Molodechno?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. BATE (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5, 1st Half - Molodechno (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Molodechno (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Molodechno (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Molodechno (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.75 - Molodechno (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Molodechno (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25, 1st Half - Molodechno (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - BATE (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. BATE (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Molodechno (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
    • BATE has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Molodechno has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • BATE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, BATE is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, BATE won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BATE Borisov - Molodechno were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Molodechno - BATE Borisov 0:1
    Latest results of BATE Borisov
    01.08.2025 BATE Borisov - Vitebsk 1:5
    25.07.2025 Naftan - BATE Borisov 3:4
    05.07.2025 BATE Borisov - Minsk 0:2
    29.06.2025 Naftan - BATE Borisov 2:2
    Latest results of Molodechno
    08.08.2025 Molodechno - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    14.07.2025 Belshina - Molodechno 0:3
    04.07.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Molodechno 4:1
    27.06.2025 Molodechno - Smorgon 2:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neman64208:2614
    2Din. Minsk54109:4513
    3ML Vitebsk53208:2611
    4FC Gomel63219:5411
    5Arsenal Dzerzhinsk624011:7410
    6FC Minsk63128:6210
    7Isloch62318:629
    8Vitebsk52215:418
    9Dynamo Brest52124:317
    10Zhodino61328:806
    11Dnepr Mogilev61325:6-16
    12Slavia Mozyr51224:6-25
    13BATE51134:404
    14Belshina61053:10-73
    15Naftan60244:12-82
    16Baranovici60152:15-131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga