Naivas vs Mombasa Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Super League Naivas - Mombasa Stars
Result
1:0
30/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Naivas
72.4%
Draw
18.7%
Mombasa Stars
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 22.7% 9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 21.6% 9.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naivas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Mombasa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa Stars than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Naivas - Mombasa Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.34)
    4.85
    (4)
    10.22
    (9.45)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 17).
    • Recent matches Naivas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • Mombasa Stars is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
    • In this match, Naivas is indisputable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naivas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2 (average 3:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Naivas won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naivas - Mombasa Stars were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Mombasa Stars - Naivas 1:3
    16.03.2024 Naivas - Mombasa Stars 4:1
    12.11.2023 Mombasa Stars - Naivas 0:2
    Latest results of Naivas
    19.04.2025 Naivas - Vihiga United 1:0
    12.04.2025 Kisumu All-Stars - Naivas 1:0
    05.04.2025 MOFA - Naivas 3:0
    29.03.2025 Naivas - Assad 4:0
    22.03.2025 Naivas - Fortune Sacco 1:0
    Latest results of Mombasa Stars
    29.03.2025 Mombasa Stars - MOFA 2:2
    23.03.2025 Mombasa Stars - 3K 2:3
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0