Result
1:0
30/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Naivas 72.4% | Draw 18.7% | Mombasa Stars 8.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naivas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Mombasa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa Stars than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Naivas - Mombasa Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.25 ↓ (1.34) |
4.85 ↑ (4) |
10.22 ↑ (9.45) |
10.2% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Naivas - Mombasa Stars?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 17).
- Recent matches Naivas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
- Mombasa Stars is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
- In this match, Naivas is indisputable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naivas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2 (average 3:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Naivas won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1
How many head-to-head matches has Naivas won against Mombasa Stars?
Naivas has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mombasa Stars won against Naivas?
Mombasa Stars has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naivas - Mombasa Stars were as follows:
12.01.2025
Mombasa Stars
-
Naivas
1:3
16.03.2024
Naivas
-
Mombasa Stars
4:1
12.11.2023
Mombasa Stars
-
Naivas
0:2
Latest results of Mombasa Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori ✔ | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Mombasa United ✔ | 31 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Equity Bank | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 49:21 | 28 | 59 |
| 5 | MOFA | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 46:24 | 22 | 57 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:27 | 23 | 53 |
| 7 | Kibera | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 27:24 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Soy United | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 27:23 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Talanta FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 22:39 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Gucha Stars | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 19:43 | -24 | 30 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 19:37 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | Kabati | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:43 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | MCF | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
| 20 | Vihiga United ✔ | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Migori is Qualified for Premier League
Mombasa United is Qualified for Premier League
Vihiga United is Relegated to