Monaco vs Nantes, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 22
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.530.93
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
62
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
93
Passes
80% (330/411)84% (383/458)
Yellow cards
52
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.530.93
xG on target (xGOT)
3.210.24
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
108
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2135
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
815
Passes
80% (330/411)84% (383/458)
Long passes
37% (19/51)43% (15/35)
Passes in final third
74% (92/124)74% (100/135)
Crosses
19% (3/16)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.99
Throw ins
2114
Fouls
158
Tackles
59% (13/22)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4856
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
03
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.243.21
Goals prevented
-0.760.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Adingra S. ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Adingra S. , Golovin A. (A),
  • 30', 3 - 0, Zakaria D. , Golovin A. (A),
  • 43', Akliouche M. , Coulibaly M. ,
  • 45+1', Camara L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 3 - 1, Centonze F. , Machado D. (A),
  • 45+3', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sylla A. , Cozza N. ,
  • 63', Camara L. , Fati A. ,
  • 65', Golovin A. 🟨,
  • 65', Golovin A. 🟨,
  • 66', Cabella R. , Ganago I. ,
  • 66', Coquelin F. , Sissoko I. ,
  • 66', Kaba M. , Lepenant J. ,
  • 76', Zakaria D. , Teze J. ,
  • 76', Balogun F. , Biereth M. ,
  • 76', Vanderson , Diatta K. ,
  • 78', Ali Youssef , El Arabi Y. ,
  • 82', Teze J. 🟨,
  • 87', Awaziem C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sissoko I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
65.5%
Draw
19.9%
Nantes
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 19.3% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 16.2% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Monaco - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.45)
    4.8
    (4.91)
    6.54
    (6.09)
    4.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 41 - 73.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 11 - 19.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 61.6%84.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Monaco (1.15) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Nantes (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Nantes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Nantes (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3.
    • Monaco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nantes is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nantes has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Monaco is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Cabral P. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Ouattara K. (Calf Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Fati A. (Muscle Injury) Mawissa C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Guilbert F. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:21. (average 2.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 3.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Nantes were as follows:
    29.10.2025 Nantes - Monaco 3:5
    15.02.2025 Monaco - Nantes 7:1
    10.01.2025 Nantes - Monaco 2:2
    19.05.2024 Monaco - Nantes 4:0
    25.08.2023 Nantes - Monaco 3:3
    Latest results of Monaco
    08.02.2026 Nice - Monaco 0:0
    05.02.2026 Strasbourg - Monaco 3:1
    31.01.2026 Monaco - Rennes 4:0
    28.01.2026 Monaco - Juventus 0:0
    24.01.2026 Le Havre - Monaco 0:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    07.02.2026 Nantes - Lyon 0:1
    31.01.2026 Lorient - Nantes 2:1
    25.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:4
    18.01.2026 Nantes - Paris FC 1:2
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

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