Saint-Étienne vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne).

Ligue 1 - Round 32
Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	K-Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	SKAI
India	GXR World
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	1.78
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
82% (419/511)	77% (260/339)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	1.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.45	2.61
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
20	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
12	15
Passes
82% (419/511)	77% (260/339)
Long passes
41% (21/51)	48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
73% (108/148)	62% (61/98)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.15
Throw-ins
25	25
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
75% (12/16)	76% (16/21)
Duels won
45	50
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
2.61	0.45
Goals prevented
-0.39	-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Akliouche M. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),
14', Biereth M. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', N'Guessan D. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
63', Magassa S. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
63', Teze J. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Tardieu F. (A),
68', 1 - 2, Al Musrati ⚽, Zakaria D. (A),
71', Moueffek A. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
71', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Balogun F. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
82', Embolo B. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
82', Akliouche M. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
90', Tardieu F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
90+1', Appiah D. ↓, Macon Y. ↑,

Chances of winning

Saint-Étienne
14.8%

Draw
18.1%

Monaco
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

19.3%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

18.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Saint-Étienne - Monaco Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.42 ↑ (5.38)	5.27 ↑ (4.93)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)	4.7% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Monaco?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Monaco will win (votes: 26 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 50.2% – 79.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Monaco is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Bouchouari B. (Back Injury) Stassin L. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (Yellow Cards) Golovin A. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Appiah D. (Neck Injury)
There are questionable in Monaco: Kehrer T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Monaco?

Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Saint-Étienne?

Monaco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Monaco were as follows:

17.08.2024 Monaco - Saint-Étienne 1:0

Latest results of Saint-Étienne

26.04.2025 Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne 3:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Lyon 2:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3 ✺

09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Monaco

26.04.2025 Le Havre - Monaco 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Monaco - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:1 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	9	6	2	1	19:8	11	20
2	Lens	9	6	1	2	14:8	6	19
3	Marseille	9	6	0	3	22:9	13	18
4	Lille	9	5	2	2	22:11	11	17
5	Monaco	9	5	2	2	18:13	5	17
6	Strasbourg	8	5	1	2	17:10	7	16
7	Lyon	8	5	0	3	11:8	3	15
8	Nice	9	4	2	3	14:15	-1	14
9	Toulouse	9	4	1	4	15:13	2	13
10	Rennes	9	2	5	2	12:14	-2	11
11	Paris FC	9	3	1	5	14:17	-3	10
12	Brest	9	2	3	4	14:17	-3	9
13	Nantes	9	2	3	4	7:10	-3	9
14	Le Havre	9	2	3	4	11:16	-5	9
15	Angers	9	2	3	4	6:12	-6	9
16	Lorient	9	2	2	5	12:21	-9	8
17	Auxerre	9	2	1	6	7:13	-6	7
18	Metz	9	0	2	7	6:26	-20	2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2