Saint-Étienne vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:3
03/05/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceSKAI
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.78
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (419/511)77% (260/339)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.452.61
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2028
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
82% (419/511)77% (260/339)
Long passes
41% (21/51)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
73% (108/148)62% (61/98)
Crosses
31% (4/13)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.15
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1512
Tackles
75% (12/16)76% (16/21)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.610.45
Goals prevented
-0.39-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Akliouche M. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),
  • 14', Biereth M. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', N'Guessan D. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
  • 63', Magassa S. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
  • 63', Teze J. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Tardieu F. (A),
  • 68', 1 - 2, Al Musrati ⚽, Zakaria D. (A),
  • 71', Moueffek A. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
  • 71', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 3, Balogun F. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
  • 82', Embolo B. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
  • 82', Akliouche M. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
  • 90', Tardieu F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
  • 90+1', Appiah D. ↓, Macon Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
14.8%		Draw
18.1%		Monaco
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 19.3% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 18.6% 65.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
    •

    Saint-Étienne - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.42 ↑
    (5.38)    		 5.27 ↑
    (4.93)    		 1.43 ↓
    (1.51)    		 4.7%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Monaco will win (votes: 26 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 50.2% – 79.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Monaco (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Saint-Étienne (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Monaco (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Saint-Étienne (1.76) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Saint-Étienne (2.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Saint-Étienne (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Saint-Étienne (5.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Monaco (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Monaco (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Monaco is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Bouchouari B. (Back Injury) Stassin L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (Yellow Cards) Golovin A. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Appiah D. (Neck Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Kehrer T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Monaco were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Monaco - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    26.04.2025 Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne 3:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Lyon 2:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3 ✺
    09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Monaco
    26.04.2025 Le Havre - Monaco 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Monaco - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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