Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Bermudez Y. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 1.46 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
78% (185/238) | 82% (319/391) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 1.46 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.79 | 1.82 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 11 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
78% (185/238) | 82% (319/391) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (21/48) | 57% (25/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (49/79) | 65% (76/117) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (5/14) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.78 | 0.88 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (12/16) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 11 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.82 | 1.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.18 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Gudino I. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Maitan M. ⚽, Caraballo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Figueroa A. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
- 55', Vegas M. ↓, Morigi M. ↑,
- 58', Lima E. 🟨,
- 61', Farias E. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 63', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
- 69', Tegues D. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 69', Covea M. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
- 71', Castillo D. ↓, Sulbaran Y. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Chavez J. ⚽,
- 80', Natera S. ↓, Welch J. ↑,
- 80', Henry N. ↓, Rivero V. ↑,
- 80', Basante F. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Rodriguez T. ⚽, Rodriguez R. (A),
- 85', Gudino I. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, La Mantia F. ⚽, Aguilar D. (A),
- 89', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monagas 43% | Draw 29.8% | Caracas 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Monagas - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↓ (2.27) |
3.12 ↑ (2.91) |
3.41 ↑ (3.39) |
7.6% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
- Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Monagas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Monagas won against Caracas?
Monagas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Monagas?
Caracas has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Caracas were as follows:
18.04.2025
Caracas
-
Monagas
1:4
20.09.2024
Caracas
-
Monagas
1:2
24.03.2024
Monagas
-
Caracas
1:1
28.01.2024
Monagas
-
Caracas
2:3
24.06.2023
Caracas
-
Monagas
2:0
Latest results of Monagas
Latest results of Caracas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | La Guaira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29:8 | 21 | 31 |
2 | Dep. Tachira ✔ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
3 | Carabobo ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Monagas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Caracas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
6 | Zamora ✔ | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 19 |
7 | Estudiantes Merida | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Puerto Cabello | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
9 | Metropolitanos | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Universidad Central | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Rayo Zuliano | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Anzoategui FC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Portuguesa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
14 | Yaracuyanos | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Dep. Tachira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Carabobo is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Zamora is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )