Result
1:4
18/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Cueva R. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (417/502) | 76% (217/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (417/502) | 76% (217/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (127/174) | 60% (46/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.47 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.58 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Romero A. ⚽,
- 35', Romero A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Navas E. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
- 46', Natera S. ↓, Macelli A. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez R. ↓, Basante F. ↑,
- 51', Olivares R. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, De Santis J. ⚽, Covea M. (A),
- 60', Basante F. 🟨,
- 63', Covea M. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 65', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Rivero V. ⚽, Gallardo E. (A),
- 71', Hernandez J. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
- 71', Vegas M. ↓, Rivillo D. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, Caraballo J. ⚽, Rodriguez T. (A),
- 81', Rito E. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
- 81', Mago L. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 4, Caraballo J. ⚽, Rodriguez T. (A),
- 85', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 88', Caraballo J. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
- 88', Rodriguez T. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caracas
37.6% | Draw
30% | Monagas
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caracas's form might have worsened.Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monagas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caracas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monagas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caracas - Monagas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.13) |
3.08 ↑
(3) |
2.86 ↓
(3.52) |
8.1%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Caracas - Monagas?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Monagas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 10 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Caracas won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Monagas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Caracas won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:20 (average 1.7:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Caracas won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Monagas?
Caracas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monagas won against Caracas?
Monagas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Monagas were as follows:
20.09.2024
Caracas
-
Monagas
1:2
24.03.2024
Monagas
-
Caracas
1:1
28.01.2024
Monagas
-
Caracas
2:3
24.06.2023
Caracas
-
Monagas
2:0
20.05.2023
Monagas
-
Caracas
0:2
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Monagas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Caracas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Universidad Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Monagas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Zamora | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Anzoategui FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Metropolitanos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Yaracuyanos | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
