Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Bermudez Y. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (185/238) | 82% (319/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (185/238) | 82% (319/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 57% (25/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (49/79) | 65% (76/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Gudino I. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Maitan M. ⚽, Caraballo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Figueroa A. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
- 55', Vegas M. ↓, Morigi M. ↑,
- 58', Lima E. 🟨,
- 61', Farias E. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 63', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
- 69', Tegues D. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 69', Covea M. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
- 71', Castillo D. ↓, Sulbaran Y. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Chavez J. ⚽,
- 80', Natera S. ↓, Welch J. ↑,
- 80', Henry N. ↓, Rivero V. ↑,
- 80', Basante F. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Rodriguez T. ⚽, Rodriguez R. (A),
- 85', Gudino I. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, La Mantia F. ⚽, Aguilar D. (A),
- 89', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monagas
43% | Draw
29.8% | Caracas
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Monagas - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.27) |
3.12 ↑
(2.91) |
3.41 ↑
(3.39) |
7.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
- Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Monagas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Monagas won against Caracas?
Monagas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Monagas?
Caracas has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Caracas were as follows:
18.04.2025
Caracas
-
Monagas
1:4
20.09.2024
Caracas
-
Monagas
1:2
24.03.2024
Monagas
-
Caracas
1:1
28.01.2024
Monagas
-
Caracas
2:3
24.06.2023
Caracas
-
Monagas
2:0
Latest results of Monagas
Latest results of Caracas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Monagas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )
