Monagas vs Caracas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 9

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.741.63
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
15
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
07
Passes
76% (253/332)85% (504/592)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
0.741.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.04
Total shots
614
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
27
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
07
Touches in opposition box
323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1312
Passes
76% (253/332)85% (504/592)
Long passes
35% (22/62)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
60% (44/73)72% (121/168)
Crosses
20% (2/10)9% (2/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.29
Throw ins
1332
Fouls
1213
Tackles
75% (18/24)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5159
Clearances
405
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
2.040.98
Goals prevented
1.04-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Basante F. 🟨,
  • 28', Sulbaran Y. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Farias E. , Sulbaran Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Correa W. 🟨,
  • 53', Basante F. , Herrera S. ,
  • 56', Figueroa A. , Uribe J. ,
  • 56', Vegas C. , Marquez M. ,
  • 58', Caraballo J. , Castillo D. ,
  • 59', Sulbaran Y. , Paz J. ,
  • 65', Correa W. , Vegas M. ,
  • 65', Reinoso L. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 72', Farias E. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 72', Jaramillo F. , Natera S. ,
  • 75', Quintero J. 🟨,
  • 76', Herrera A. , Lezama R. ,
  • 88', Uribe J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Gonzalez S. , Lezama R. (A),
  • 90+7', Gonzalez S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monagas
40.2%
Draw
27.8%
Caracas
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 26.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 26.7% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caracas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Monagas - Caracas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.58)
    3.29
    (3.49)
    2.86
    (2.52)
    9.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Monagas - Caracas?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monagas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Caracas were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Monagas - Caracas 2:2
    18.04.2025 Caracas - Monagas 1:4
    20.09.2024 Caracas - Monagas 1:2
    24.03.2024 Monagas - Caracas 1:1
    28.01.2024 Monagas - Caracas 2:3
    Latest results of Monagas
    Latest results of Caracas
    17.03.2026 Caracas - Trujillanos 4:2
    04.03.2026 Caracas - Metropolitanos 1:0
    28.02.2026 Carabobo - Caracas 0:0
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira ✔ 1165014:6823
    2Universidad Central ✔ 1171323:16722
    3Dep. Tachira1162314:10420
    4Metropolitanos1154214:10419
    5Estudiantes Merida1152418:14417
    6Carabobo1137116:9716
    7Portuguesa1144317:12516
    8Zamora1143412:12015
    9Rayo Zuliano1142512:20-814
    10Puerto Cabello1134412:12013
    11Caracas1125412:15-311
    12Monagas1131711:18-710
    13Anzoategui FC1122711:18-78
    14Trujillanos110478:22-144

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )