Monagas vs Estudiantes de Mérida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Venezuelan Primera Division Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida
Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.28
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
64% (207/321)52% (147/283)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.570.00
Total shots
204
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
64% (207/321)52% (147/283)
Long passes
34% (27/79)17% (17/100)
Passes in final third
47% (55/117)37% (37/100)
Crosses
17% (3/18)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.17
Throw-ins
1930
Fouls
1614
Tackles
68% (13/19)63% (19/30)
Duels won
5468
Clearances
3516
Interceptions
1715
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.001.57
Goals prevented
0.000.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Browne O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Fernandez M. , Alderete E. ,
  • 60', Guzman S. 🟨,
  • 63', Caraballo J. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 67', Natera S. 🟨,
  • 67', Browne O. , Moreno J. ,
  • 67', Lopez A. , Ramirez Holguin W. S. ,
  • 70', Natera S. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 70', Basante F. , Welch J. ,
  • 78', Guzman S. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 79', Hernandez J. , Ortiz K. ,
  • 79', Contreras A. , Romero A. ,
  • 79', Castillo D. , Navas E. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Rodriguez R. , Romero A. (A),

Chances of winning


Monagas
41.8%
Draw
28.6%
Estudiantes de Mérida
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 32.4% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 34% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes de Mérida's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monagas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes de Mérida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.06)
    3.24
    (2.84)
    3.13
    (4.02)
    7.8%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Est de Mérida (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 1.
    • Monagas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Est de Mérida is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Monagas has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas 2:0
    10.11.2024 Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida 2:3
    03.11.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas 2:0
    22.08.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas 2:1
    01.03.2024 Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida 3:2
    Latest results of Monagas
    02.07.2025 Bolivar - Monagas 0:0
    25.06.2025 Monagas - Angostura 3:1
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira440011:11012
    2Dep. Tachira43107:3410
    3Carabobo43106:2410
    4Caracas43016:609
    5Puerto Cabello42116:427
    6Monagas42023:4-16
    7Universidad Central41124:404
    8Metropolitanos41127:8-14
    9Estudiantes Merida41123:4-14
    10Portuguesa41122:3-14
    11Zamora41123:6-34
    12Anzoategui FC41032:6-43
    13Rayo Zuliano41033:8-53
    14Yaracuyanos40043:7-40

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