Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (207/321) | 52% (147/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (207/321) | 52% (147/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (27/79) | 17% (17/100) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (55/117) | 37% (37/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 63% (19/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Browne O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Fernandez M. ↓, Alderete E. ↑,
- 60', Guzman S. 🟨,
- 63', Caraballo J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 67', Natera S. 🟨,
- 67', Browne O. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 67', Lopez A. ↓, Ramirez Holguin W. S. ↑,
- 70', Natera S. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 70', Basante F. ↓, Welch J. ↑,
- 78', Guzman S. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 79', Hernandez J. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
- 79', Contreras A. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
- 79', Castillo D. ↓, Navas E. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Rodriguez R. ⚽, Romero A. (A),
Chances of winning
Monagas
41.8% | Draw
28.6% | Estudiantes de Mérida
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes de Mérida's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monagas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes de Mérida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.06) |
3.24 ↑
(2.84) |
3.13 ↓
(4.02) |
7.8%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Est de Mérida (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 1.
- Monagas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Est de Mérida is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Monagas has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Monagas won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Monagas has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Monagas?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:
06.02.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Monagas
2:0
10.11.2024
Monagas
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:3
03.11.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Monagas
2:0
22.08.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Monagas
2:1
01.03.2024
Monagas
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
3:2
Latest results of Monagas
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Metropolitanos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Anzoategui FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
