Belenenses vs Moncarapachense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Moncarapachense
Result
2:1
25/02/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Belenenses
67.4%
Draw
19.9%
Moncarapachense
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 28% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 26.6% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.
  • Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moncarapachense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Belenenses - Moncarapachense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.67)
    4.63
    (3.24)
    7.26
    (5.1)
    8.6%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Moncarapachense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
    • Recent matches Belenenses is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Moncarapachense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Belenenses is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Moncarapachense were as follows:
    13.11.2022 Moncarapachense - Belenenses 0:2
    Latest results of Belenenses
    19.02.2023 Caldas - Belenenses 0:1
    11.02.2023 Belenenses - Fontinhas 6:0
    29.01.2023 Belenenses - Leiria 1:2
    21.01.2023 Amora - Belenenses 2:1
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense00000:000
    2Varzim00000:000
    3Paredes00000:000
    4AD Fafe00000:000
    5Sanjoanense00000:000
    6Amarante00000:000
    7Sao Joao Ver00000:000
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B00000:000
    9Braga B00000:000
    10AD Marco 0900000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica00000:000
    2Atletico CP00000:000
    3Covilha00000:000
    4Mafra00000:000
    5Caldas00000:000
    61u00ba Dezembro00000:000
    7Lusitano GC00000:000
    8Amora00000:000
    9Santarem00000:000
    10Os Belenenses00000:000

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