Moncarapachense vs Fontinhas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Moncarapachense - Fontinhas
29/04/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
39.6%
Draw
28.5%
Fontinhas
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 31.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 29.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fontinhas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moncarapachense - Fontinhas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.22)
    3.21
    (2.9)
    2.87
    (3.26)
    9.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Moncarapachense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Fontinhas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Moncarapachense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Moncarapachense will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Fontinhas were as follows:
    07.04.2023 Fontinhas - Moncarapachense 0:0
    07.01.2023 Fontinhas - Moncarapachense 2:4
    27.08.2022 Moncarapachense - Fontinhas 0:1
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Latest results of Fontinhas
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

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