Leiria vs Moncarapachense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Leiria - Moncarapachense
Result
6:1
11/03/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 22

Chances of winning


Leiria
71%
Draw
19.1%
Moncarapachense
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 20.4% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8% 19.2% 9.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • The chances for Moncarapachense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Leiria - Moncarapachense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.33)
    4.79
    (4.54)
    9.17
    (9.29)
    9.4%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).
    • Leiria is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
    • Moncarapachense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
    • Leiria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Moncarapachense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Leiria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leiria is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Moncarapachense were as follows:
    04.12.2022 Moncarapachense - Leiria 1:2
    Latest results of Leiria
    04.03.2023 Caldas - Leiria 0:3
    24.02.2023 Leiria - Fontinhas 1:2
    18.02.2023 Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria 0:1
    11.02.2023 Leiria - Oliveira Hospital 2:1
    05.02.2023 Leiria - Amora 2:0
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )