Monsoon vs Avenida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Relegation - Round 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.611.13
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
2614
Shots on target
93
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
50
Passes
84% (343/410)86% (363/421)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.611.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.33
Total shots
2614
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
129
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
145
Shots outside the box
129
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
3626
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1316
Passes
84% (343/410)86% (363/421)
Long passes
45% (23/51)56% (33/59)
Passes in final third
75% (95/127)66% (63/95)
Crosses
39% (7/18)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.37
Throw ins
2416
Fouls
1613
Tackles
76% (13/17)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4152
Clearances
928
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.331.12
Goals prevented
-0.670.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Ramirez J. 🟨,
  • 34', Vinicius Garcia 🟨,
  • 34', Ze Pedro 🟨,
  • 38', Leo Hanna 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ramirez J. , Adryel Itaqui ,
  • 46', Xandy , Emerson Junior ,
  • 62', Vinicius Garcia , Jonathan Cabeca ,
  • 62', Matheus Candido , Mikael Costa ,
  • 65', Adryel Itaqui 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Jonathan Cabeca ,
  • 73', Anderson Recife , Matheus Rodrigues ,
  • 78', Cristian Lessa , Yuri ,
  • 82', Luan Santos , Carlos Gabriel ,
  • 82', Camargo , Henrique Marcos ,
  • 83', Rena 🟥,
  • 83', Marcelo Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Adryel Itaqui ,
  • 87', Leo Hanna , Hannyel ,
  • 89', Ranisson , Jo ,

Chances of winning


Monsoon
38.9%
Draw
34.2%
Avenida
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 32.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 33.5% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monsoon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Monsoon - Avenida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.41)
    2.69
    (2.81)
    3.26
    (3.02)
    10.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Monsoon - Avenida?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Monsoon could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monsoon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monsoon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monsoon - Avenida were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Avenida - Monsoon 1:1
    18.01.2026 Monsoon - Avenida 0:0
    09.02.2025 Monsoon - Avenida 2:1
    Latest results of Monsoon
    14.02.2026 Avenida - Monsoon 1:1
    06.02.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon 0:0
    31.01.2026 Monsoon - São Luiz 2:2
    25.01.2026 Juventude - Monsoon 3:0
    Latest results of Avenida
    14.02.2026 Avenida - Monsoon 1:1
    09.02.2026 Avenida - Guarany de Bagé 2:1
    24.01.2026 Avenida - Novo Hamburgo 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio