Monsoon vs Inter Santa Maria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Relegation - Round 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.661.64
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
53
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
41
Passes
84% (369/438)76% (179/235)
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.661.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.25
Total shots
159
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
46
Shots outside the box
113
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
3016
Passes
84% (369/438)76% (179/235)
Long passes
47% (22/47)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
66% (75/114)64% (42/66)
Crosses
14% (3/21)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.33
Throw ins
2525
Fouls
1630
Tackles
75% (9/12)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
2429
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.251.47
Goals prevented
0.250.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Joao Felipe ,
  • 22', Hiago Cena 🟨,
  • 25', Hiago Cena , Rick Sena ,
  • 25', Para , Talyssson Lalau ,
  • 35', Talyssson Lalau 🟨,
  • 42', Mossoro 🟨,
  • 45+1', Otavio Passos 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Joao Felipe , Wilson Junior ,
  • 52', Yuri Mamute 🟨,
  • 58', Otavio Passos , Marco Freitas ,
  • 58', Mossoro , Chico Bala ,
  • 61', Luan Santos , Hannyel ,
  • 69', Yuri Mamute , Laion ,
  • 72', Leo Hanna , Anderson Paraiba ,
  • 72', Camargo , Jonathan Cabeca ,
  • 79', Salas De La Hoz A. D. J. , Guedes I. ,
  • 88', Anderson Paraiba 🟨,
  • 89', Ricardo Thalheimer 🟨,
  • 90+2', Anderson Paraiba 🟥,
  • 90+5', Marcao 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Fabinho Polhao ,

Chances of winning


Monsoon
35.4%
Draw
32.8%
Inter Santa Maria
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 31.4% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 30.1% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monsoon's form might have worsened.
  • Inter Santa Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monsoon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Monsoon - Inter Santa Maria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.25)
    2.8
    (2.9)
    2.86
    (3.25)
    9.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Monsoon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Inter SM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Inter SM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Monsoon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monsoon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Monsoon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monsoon - Inter Santa Maria were as follows:
    16.06.2024 Inter Santa Maria - Monsoon 3:0
    08.06.2024 Monsoon - Inter Santa Maria 1:1
    Latest results of Monsoon
    06.02.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon 0:0
    31.01.2026 Monsoon - São Luiz 2:2
    25.01.2026 Juventude - Monsoon 3:0
    18.01.2026 Monsoon - Avenida 0:0
    Latest results of Inter Santa Maria
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio